Fluminense vs Internacional prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Fluminense to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Fluminense victory, supported by their strong home form and superior league position. While the market suggests a tight contest, the statistical edge lies with the home side. The probability of more than two goals is rated at 48%.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Fluminense's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersFluminense's home attacking strength should see them through this encounter.
Fluminense averages 1.81 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages only 0.94 goals away. Fluminense concedes 1.28 goals per game, matching Internacional's 1.25 goals conceded.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureFluminense's superior league standing provides a significant advantage heading into the match.
Fluminense sits 5th with 51 points, compared to Internacional's 16th place on 35 points. Both teams have had 4 days rest since their last fixture.
Fluminense: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market slightly undervalues Fluminense's recent strong home run of form.
Fluminense's recent home form shows 3 wins in their last 5 home games. Internationally, they have lost 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Fluminense: slightly overrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Fluminense are favourites at 52%, with Internacional on 22% and the draw on 26%. Fluminense are 5th and Internacional 16th in Brasileirão Série A. In their last five league games, Fluminense won two and Internacional two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Fluminense win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Internacional win or draw
- 48%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 73%
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- 4+ goals
- 26%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Fluminense and 1.0 from Internacional. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 26% | 22% | Stats preview | #1666 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Fluminense: last 6
LWLLLW · 8 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Chapecoense-sc | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Santos | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Palmeiras CONMEBOL Libertadores | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Flamengo | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Coritiba | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LLWWW
Internacional: last 6
WLDWLW · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Botafogo | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Mirassol | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Gremio | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Oct | vs Corinthians | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Chapecoense-sc | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LDLWL
Season stats
| Fluminense | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 1.28 | Goals conceded per game | 1.25 |
| 1.81 | Scored per game at home | 1.31 |
| 1.31 | Scored per game away | 0.94 |
| 56% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 41% |
| 72% | Both teams scored | 56% |
| 19% | Clean sheets | 22% |
| 12% | Failed to score | 31% |
League matches only, 32 games each.
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 32 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Fluminense won 3, Internacional 2, 1 draw; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May 2026 | Internacional | 2–0 | Fluminense | Serie A |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Fluminense | 1–0 | Internacional | Serie A |
| 7 Aug 2025 | Fluminense | 1–1 | Internacional | Copa Do Brasil |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Internacional | 1–2 | Fluminense | Copa Do Brasil |
| 1 Jun 2025 | Internacional | 0–2 | Fluminense | Serie A |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Internacional | 2–0 | Fluminense | Serie A |
Team news: injuries and suspensions
- OutAlissonHip
- OutJohn KennedyKnee
- OutMatheus ReisKnee
Show 2 more
- OutJ. MillanNot available
- DoubtMartinelliNot available
- OutKaykyAnkle
- OutS. RochetLower Back
- OutA. SanabriaNot available
Show 1 more
- DoubtAnthoniKnee
From our match data feed · updated UK time (GMT).
Match context
- Travel for Internacional
- 1,126 km
- Rest days
- Fluminense 4Internacional 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Fluminense 4 · Internacional 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 21°C · wind 15 km/h
- Dry
- Referee
- Lucas Casagrande
- Goals in this league
- Brasileirão Série A average: 2.66 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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