Roan United vs ZESCO United prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Roan to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 69%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a competitive match where ZESCO United holds the edge. The coach highlights ZESCO's superior attacking output, while the sceptic points to their historical superiority. The slight advantage in fixture load for ZESCO reinforces this view, suggesting a narrow away win is the most likely outcome.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersZESCO United's attacking metrics suggest a higher ceiling for goals than Roan United's defensive structure.
ZESCO United averages 1.50 goals scored per game compared to Roan United's 0.67. ZESCO concedes only 0.50 goals per game, while Roan United averages 0.67. Roan United has scored 0.00 goals in their last home match.
ZESCO: strongly underrated
High The Dressing Room
the table and pressureZESCO United enters the fixture with a slight advantage in recent competitive load and league standing.
ZESCO United sits 9th in the table with 5 points from 4 games, while Roan United is 13th with 4 points from 3 games.
ZESCO: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market appears to undervalue ZESCO United, given their strong recent form and historical dominance over Roan United.
ZESCO United has won 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches. Their recent form includes a 5-0 win, contrasting with Roan United's 0-1 loss. The season average for matches over 2.5 goals is 33%.
ZESCO: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Roan United are favourites at 48%, with ZESCO United on 22% and the draw on 30%. Roan United are 13th and ZESCO United 9th in the Zambia Super League. In their last three league games, Roan United won one and ZESCO United one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Roan United win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- ZESCO United win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 58%
- 3+ goals
- 31%
- 4+ goals
- 13%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 36%
- No
- 64%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Roan United and 0.7 from ZESCO United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 30% | 22% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1745 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Roan United: last 3
LDW · 2 scored, 2 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Green Eagles | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Green Buffaloes | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | at Nkwazi | 2–1 | W |
Last 1 at home: D
ZESCO United: last 4
WDLD · 6 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Mutondo Stars | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Mufulira Wanderers | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Green Eagles | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Kabwe Warriors | 1–1 | D |
Last 1 away: D
Season stats
| Roan United | ZESCO United | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 0.67 | Goals conceded per game | 0.50 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 25% |
| 33% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 67% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 3 and 4 games.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zanaco | 4 | +3 | 7 | WDLW |
| 7 | Chirundu Utd | 4 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 8 | Power Dynamos | 4 | +0 | 6 | LWWL |
| 9 | ZESCO United | 4 | +4 | 5 | WDLD |
| 10 | Trident | 4 | +3 | 4 | WLDL |
| 11 | Red Arrows | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 12 | Kabwe Warriors | 3 | +0 | 4 | LWD |
| 13 | Roan United | 3 | +0 | 4 | LDW |
| 14 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 4 | -5 | 4 | LWLD |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Nkwazi | 4 | -1 | 3 | DDDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Roan United won 0, ZESCO United 3, 3 draws; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2014 | ZESCO United | 2–0 | Roan United | Super League |
| 20 Apr 2014 | Roan United | 1–2 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 22 Sep 2013 | Roan United | 0–2 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 4 May 2013 | ZESCO United | 0–0 | Roan United | Super League |
| 18 Aug 2012 | Roan United | 1–1 | ZESCO United | Super League |
| 21 Apr 2012 | ZESCO United | 1–1 | Roan United | Super League |
Match context
- Rest days
- Roan United 11ZESCO United 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Roan United 1 · ZESCO United 2
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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