Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Green Eagles to win: 73%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 53%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings lean towards a Green Eagles win, with probabilities clustered around the published 73%. The sceptic's note on Warriors' scoring nudges the over slightly above the published 53%, but nobody sees the away side seriously threatening.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureSecond hosts twelfth with momentum firmly at home
Green Eagles sit 2nd on 10 points from 4 games, unbeaten (W3 D1), while Kabwe Warriors are 12th with 4 points from 3.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWarriors' scoring keeps the over case alive
Kabwe Warriors score 1.67 per game and both teams have scored in 100% of their matches, yet the model gives them just 0.6 expected goals and 41% BTTS. Their 67% over-2.5 rate supports the 53% over line, but the 9% away win looks lean given their 3-2 win over Mutondo Stars.
Kabwe Warriors: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Green Eagles are clear favourites at 73%, with Kabwe Warriors on 9% and the draw on 18%. Green Eagles are 2nd and Kabwe Warriors 12th in the Zambia Super League. In their last three league games, Green Eagles won two and Kabwe Warriors one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Green Eagles win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 82%
- Kabwe Warriors win or draw
- 27%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 53%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 41%
- No
- 59%
We expect about 2.2 goals from Green Eagles and 0.6 from Kabwe Warriors. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (14%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73% | 18% | 9% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1849 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Green Eagles: last 4
DWWW · 6 scored, 1 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Nkwazi | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Roan United | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at ZESCO United | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Mufulira Wanderers | 4–1 | W |
Last 1 at home: W
Kabwe Warriors: last 3
LWD · 5 scored, 5 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Green Buffaloes | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Mutondo Stars | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs ZESCO United | 1–1 | D |
Season stats
| Green Eagles | Kabwe Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.67 |
| 0.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.67 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game away | – |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 100% |
| 75% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 4 and 3 games.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 4 | +5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| 5 | Green Buffaloes | 4 | +3 | 8 | WDDW |
| … | |||||
| 9 | ZESCO United | 4 | +4 | 5 | WDLD |
| 10 | Trident | 4 | +3 | 4 | WLDL |
| 11 | Red Arrows | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 12 | Kabwe Warriors | 3 | +0 | 4 | LWD |
| 13 | Roan United | 3 | +0 | 4 | LDW |
| 14 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 4 | -5 | 4 | LWLD |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Green Eagles 7Kabwe Warriors 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Green Eagles 1 · Kabwe Warriors 1
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
