Green Buffaloes vs Mufulira Wanderers prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Green Buffaloes to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
In short
Green Buffaloes are clear favourites at 62%, with Mufulira Wanderers on 12% and the draw on 26%. Green Buffaloes are 5th and Mufulira Wanderers 18th in the Zambia Super League. In their last four league games, Green Buffaloes won two and Mufulira Wanderers none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Green Buffaloes win or draw
- 88%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Mufulira Wanderers win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 59%
- 3+ goals
- 32%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 30%
- No
- 70%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Green Buffaloes and 0.5 from Mufulira Wanderers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (21%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 5. Next: 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 26% | 12% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1755 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Green Buffaloes: last 4
WDDW · 4 scored, 1 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Kabwe Warriors | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Nkwazi | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Roan United | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Chirundu Utd | 2–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: DW
Mufulira Wanderers: last 4
LDDL · 1 scored, 5 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Chirundu Utd | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | at ZESCO United | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Red Arrows | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Green Eagles | 1–4 | L |
Last 2 away: DD
Season stats
| Green Buffaloes | Mufulira Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.25 |
| 0.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.25 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 25% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 25% | Both teams scored | 25% |
| 75% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 75% |
League matches only, 4 games each.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| 5 | Green Buffaloes | 4 | +3 | 8 | WDDW |
| 6 | Zanaco | 4 | +3 | 7 | WDLW |
| 7 | Chirundu Utd | 4 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 8 | Power Dynamos | 4 | +0 | 6 | LWWL |
| … | |||||
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Nkwazi | 4 | -1 | 3 | DDDL |
| 17 | Nchanga Rangers | 4 | -3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 18 | Mufulira Wanderers | 4 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
| 19 | Makeni All Stars | 4 | -9 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 | Mutondo Stars | 4 | -11 | 0 | LLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Green Buffaloes 7Mufulira Wanderers 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Green Buffaloes 1 · Mufulira Wanderers 1
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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