Power Dynamos vs Nkana prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Power Dynamos to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 64%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
On goals, the sceptic and coach both see the 36% over 2.5 line as fair or slightly high given Nkana's 0.50 away scoring rate, so a tighter, lower-scoring game is the common view.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHome edge built on defence, but both attacks look modest so a low-scoring game is likely.
Power Dynamos concede 1.00 per game and have kept clean sheets in 25% of matches, while Nkana concede just 0.75 and have shut sides out in 50%. Nkana's away scoring is only 0.50 per game, and both-teams-score sits at 42%. That points under the 2.5 line.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureNkana's stronger start adds pressure, but Power Dynamos' home wins keep them competitive.
Nkana sit 3rd with 9 points from 4 games, winning three without a draw; Power Dynamos are 8th on 6 points with two wins and two defeats. Both have had 7 and 6 days rest respectively with two games in 14 days, so freshness is even.
Power Dynamos: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published numbers look fair, though the low total deserves respect given Nkana's away record.
The 36% over line and 42% both-teams-score rate look right, maybe a touch high on goals.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Power Dynamos are slight favourites at 44%, with Nkana on 27% and the draw on 29%. Power Dynamos are 8th and Nkana 3rd in the Zambia Super League. In their last four league games, Power Dynamos won two and Nkana three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Power Dynamos win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 71%
- Nkana win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 63%
- 3+ goals
- 36%
- 4+ goals
- 17%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 42%
- No
- 58%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Power Dynamos and 0.9 from Nkana. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (15%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 7. Next: 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 29% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1965 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Power Dynamos: last 4
LWWL · 4 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Man Utd Zambia Academy | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Trident | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Nchanga Rangers | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Konkola Blades | 1–2 | L |
Last 2 at home: WW
Nkana: last 4
LWWW · 7 scored, 3 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Konkola Blades | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Nchanga Rangers | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Makeni All Stars | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Trident | 1–0 | W |
Last 2 away: LW
Season stats
| Power Dynamos | Nkana | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.75 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 25% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 4 games each.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 4 | +5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| 5 | Green Buffaloes | 4 | +3 | 8 | WDDW |
| 6 | Zanaco | 4 | +3 | 7 | WDLW |
| 7 | Chirundu Utd | 4 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 8 | Power Dynamos | 4 | +0 | 6 | LWWL |
| 9 | ZESCO United | 4 | +4 | 5 | WDLD |
| 10 | Trident | 4 | +3 | 4 | WLDL |
| 11 | Red Arrows | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Power Dynamos 7Nkana 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Power Dynamos 2 · Nkana 2
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
