Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kansanshi Dynamos to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 68%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published numbers: Kansanshi around 44%, draw 30%, NAPSA 26%. The Dressing Room's low stakes and the Sceptic's worry about Kansanshi conceding two per game both soften confidence. On totals, 2+ goals sit at 59% but over 2.5 stays low at 32% — a modest home win in a low-scoring league is the consensus picture.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKansanshi's home scoring against NAPSA's low away output points to a tight home win
But Kansanshi's matches go over 2.5 goals 75% of the time while NAPSA's have never gone over 2.5 this season, and only 38% of matches see both teams score — goals likely come from one side.
Kansanshi Dynamos: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureNeither side has breathing room, and the draw suits both more than a loss does
Four points from four games for Kansanshi, three for NAPSA — two sides under pressure sitting side by side around 14th and 15th. NAPSA's three draws in four reflect a team protecting what it gets, and a point away would suit them.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 44% home rating looks a touch generous given Kansanshi's defensive record
That points to more draws than the 30% published suggests, so I shade the draw up and the home win down slightly.
NAPSA Stars: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Kansanshi Dynamos are slight favourites at 44%, with NAPSA Stars on 26% and the draw on 30%. Kansanshi Dynamos are 14th and NAPSA Stars 15th in the Zambia Super League. In their last four league games, Kansanshi Dynamos won one and NAPSA Stars none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kansanshi Dynamos win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- NAPSA Stars win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 59%
- 3+ goals
- 32%
- 4+ goals
- 14%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 38%
- No
- 62%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Kansanshi Dynamos and 0.8 from NAPSA Stars. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (11%), 2–0 (9%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 30% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1906 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kansanshi Dynamos: last 4
LWLD · 3 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Zanaco | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Konkola Blades | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | at Makeni All Stars | 0–0 | D |
Last 1 at home: W
NAPSA Stars: last 4
LDDD · 2 scored, 3 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Nchanga Rangers | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Zanaco | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Trident | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Man Utd Zambia Academy | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 away: DD
Season stats
| Kansanshi Dynamos | NAPSA Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Goals scored per game | 0.50 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.75 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 0.50 |
| 0.33 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 75% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 25% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 4 games each.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Red Arrows | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 12 | Kabwe Warriors | 3 | +0 | 4 | LWD |
| 13 | Roan United | 3 | +0 | 4 | LDW |
| 14 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 4 | -5 | 4 | LWLD |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Nkwazi | 4 | -1 | 3 | DDDL |
| 17 | Nchanga Rangers | 4 | -3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 18 | Mufulira Wanderers | 4 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Kansanshi Dynamos 7NAPSA Stars 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kansanshi Dynamos 1 · NAPSA Stars 1
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
