Nchanga Rangers vs Man Utd Zambia Academy prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Nchanga Rangers 39%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 72%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a Man Utd Zambia Academy victory, driven by their superior league standing and attacking metrics. The draw probability is consistently held around 25-32%, while the likelihood of more than two goals remains moderate across all analyses.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMan Utd Zambia Academy's strong attacking output contrasts sharply with Nchanga Rangers' inability to score at home.
Nchanga Rangers have scored 0.00 per game at home this season.
Man Utd Zambia Academy: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap in league standing and recent form suggests a clear advantage for the away side.
Man Utd Zambia Academy sits 1st with 10 points from 4 games (7-2 goals). Nchanga Rangers are 17th with 3 points from 4 games (1-4 goals).
Man Utd Zambia Academy: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWhile the market is close, Man Utd's season-long defensive solidity suggests a higher probability of a clean sheet.
Man Utd Zambia Academy has failed to score 0% of the time in the season, while Nchanga Rangers have failed to score 75% of the time.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Nchanga Rangers are slight favourites at 39%, with Man Utd Zambia Academy on 29% and the draw on 32%. Nchanga Rangers are 17th and Man Utd Zambia Academy 1st in the Zambia Super League. In their last four league games, Nchanga Rangers won one and Man Utd Zambia Academy three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Nchanga Rangers win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 68%
- Man Utd Zambia Academy win or draw
- 61%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 55%
- 3+ goals
- 28%
- 4+ goals
- 12%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 36%
- No
- 64%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Nchanga Rangers and 0.8 from Man Utd Zambia Academy. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 0–0 (16%), 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (13%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 32% | 29% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1905 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Nchanga Rangers: last 4
WLLL · 1 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at NAPSA Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Nkana | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Power Dynamos | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Zanaco | 0–1 | L |
Last 1 at home: L
Man Utd Zambia Academy: last 4
WWWD · 7 scored, 2 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Power Dynamos | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Makeni All Stars | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Kansanshi Dynamos | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at NAPSA Stars | 1–1 | D |
Last 1 away: D
Season stats
| Nchanga Rangers | Man Utd Zambia Academy | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | Goals scored per game | 1.75 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 0.50 |
| 0.00 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 0.33 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 0% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| 0% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 50% |
| 75% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 4 games each.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 4 | +5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 4 | -5 | 4 | LWLD |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
| 16 | Nkwazi | 4 | -1 | 3 | DDDL |
| 17 | Nchanga Rangers | 4 | -3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 18 | Mufulira Wanderers | 4 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
| 19 | Makeni All Stars | 4 | -9 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 | Mutondo Stars | 4 | -11 | 0 | LLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Nchanga Rangers 7Man Utd Zambia Academy 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Nchanga Rangers 2 · Man Utd Zambia Academy 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 31°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Zambia Super League average: 2.18 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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