Konkola Blades vs Nkana prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Konkola Blades to win: 48%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · ✓ 2 goals
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a tightly contested match where Nkana's defensive stability and superior league form are key factors. While Konkola Blades possess high-scoring potential, Nkana's historical dominance in this fixture and recent form give them the upper hand.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts read the numbers only.
The Coach
styles in the numbersNkana's defensive record clashes with Konkola's high-scoring but leaky attack.
Konkola Blades average 2.00 goals scored per game but concede 1.67. Nkana boasts 67% clean sheets and 0.33 goals conceded per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureNkana's superior league position and dominant form place them as the favourites.
Nkana sits 3rd with 9 points from 3 games (W3 D0 L0), while Konkola Blades are 5th with 6 points from 3 games (W2 D0 L1).
Nkana: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongNkana's strong head-to-head record suggests they are better suited to this fixture.
In the last 6 meetings, Nkana won 4 times, including a 2-0 victory over Konkola Blades in 2026. Both teams have played only 1 game in 14 days.
Nkana: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Konkola Blades are favourites at 48%, with Nkana on 27% and the draw on 25%. Konkola Blades are 5th and Nkana 3rd in the Zambia Super League. In their last three league games, Konkola Blades won two and Nkana three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Konkola Blades win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Nkana win or draw
- 52%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Konkola Blades and 1.1 from Nkana. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48% | 25% | 27% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1300 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Konkola Blades: last 3
LWW · 6 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Kansanshi Dynamos | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Zanaco | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Power Dynamos | 2–1 | W |
Last 1 at home: W
Nkana: last 3
WWW · 7 scored, 1 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Nchanga Rangers | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Makeni All Stars | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Trident | 1–0 | W |
Last 1 away: W
Season stats
| Konkola Blades | Nkana | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.33 |
| 1.67 | Goals conceded per game | 0.33 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 3.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 100% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 67% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 3 games each.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | 4 | +5 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| 5 | Green Buffaloes | 4 | +3 | 8 | WDDW |
| 6 | Zanaco | 4 | +3 | 7 | WDLW |
| 7 | Chirundu Utd | 4 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Konkola Blades won 0, Nkana 4, 2 draws; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Nkana | 2–0 | Konkola Blades | Super League |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Konkola Blades | 0–0 | Nkana | Super League |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Nkana | 2–1 | Konkola Blades | Super League |
| 8 Nov 2023 | Konkola Blades | 1–2 | Nkana | Super League |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Nkana | 1–0 | Konkola Blades | Super League |
| 1 Dec 2021 | Konkola Blades | 1–1 | Nkana | Super League |
Match context
- Rest days
- Konkola Blades 8Nkana 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Konkola Blades 1 · Nkana 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
