Kabwe Warriors vs Green Buffaloes prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
A draw is the most likely result: 37%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 73% · bookies 73% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a tight contest where Kabwe Warriors' home attacking threat is key, though Green Buffaloes' defensive solidity and better league position offer a counter-argument. The historical data and home form lean towards a Warriors victory, while the overall goal probability remains moderate.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Kabwe Warriors's chances are better than the bookmakers say. The Dressing Room thinks Green Buffaloes are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKabwe Warriors' high scoring rate at home could overwhelm Green Buffaloes' defensive structure.
KW averages 2.00 goals scored at home, while GB has conceded 0.00 goals per game in the season. KW has scored in 100% of season matches.
Kabwe Warriors: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureGreen Buffaloes hold a slight advantage with more points and a shorter recovery period.
Green Buffaloes sit 8th with 5 points from 3 games, compared to Kabwe Warriors 11th with 4 points from 2 games. GB has 7 days rest while KW has 15 days.
Green Buffaloes: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market may be underestimating Kabwe Warriors' historical dominance over Green Buffaloes.
In the last 6 encounters, Kabwe Warriors won 3 matches. Green Buffaloes have failed to score in 0% of season away games. KW form includes a 3-2 win.
Kabwe Warriors: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
No clear favourite: a draw is the single most likely result at 37%. Kabwe Warriors are 11th and Green Buffaloes 8th in the Zambia Super League. In their last two matches across all competitions, Kabwe Warriors won one and Green Buffaloes none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Kabwe Warriors win or draw
- 73%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 63%
- Green Buffaloes win or draw
- 64%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 53%
- 3+ goals
- 26%
- 4+ goals
- 11%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 35%
- No
- 65%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Kabwe Warriors and 0.8 from Green Buffaloes. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–0 (17%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 1–0 (16%), 0–1 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 2–0 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 44% | 30% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1282 | |
| 2 | 36% | 37% | 27% | Prices moved | #1398 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Kabwe Warriors: last 2
WD · 4 scored, 3 conceded
| 10 Oct | vs Mutondo Stars | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs ZESCO United | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 at home: WD
Green Buffaloes: last 3
DDW · 2 scored, 0 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Nkwazi | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Roan United | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Chirundu Utd | 2–0 | W |
Last 1 away: D
Season stats
| Kabwe Warriors | Green Buffaloes | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.67 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded per game | 0.00 |
| 2.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| – | Scored per game away | 0.00 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 0% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 0% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 100% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 67% |
League matches only, 2 and 3 games.
Zambia Super League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Green Eagles | 4 | +5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 | Nkana | 4 | +4 | 9 | LWWW |
| 4 | Konkola Blades | 4 | +3 | 9 | WLWW |
| 5 | Green Buffaloes | 4 | +3 | 8 | WDDW |
| 6 | Zanaco | 4 | +3 | 7 | WDLW |
| 7 | Chirundu Utd | 4 | +2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 8 | Power Dynamos | 4 | +0 | 6 | LWWL |
| 9 | ZESCO United | 4 | +4 | 5 | WDLD |
| 10 | Trident | 4 | +3 | 4 | WLDL |
| 11 | Red Arrows | 2 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 12 | Kabwe Warriors | 3 | +0 | 4 | LWD |
| 13 | Roan United | 3 | +0 | 4 | LDW |
| 14 | Kansanshi Dynamos | 4 | -5 | 4 | LWLD |
| 15 | NAPSA Stars | 4 | -1 | 3 | LDDD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Kabwe Warriors won 3, Green Buffaloes 2, 1 draw; 1.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Green Buffaloes | 0–2 | Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Kabwe Warriors | 1–0 | Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Green Buffaloes | 1–0 | Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Kabwe Warriors | 1–1 | Green Buffaloes | Super League |
| 7 Apr 2024 | Green Buffaloes | 1–0 | Kabwe Warriors | Super League |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Kabwe Warriors | 3–0 | Green Buffaloes | Super League |
Match context
- Rest days
- Kabwe Warriors 15Green Buffaloes 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Kabwe Warriors 0 · Green Buffaloes 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
