Loudoun United 22ndDLWDW

4–3

Sat 24 OctET

Full time

Brooklyn 24thLWLLL

Loudoun United vs Brooklyn prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

Loudoun to win: 61%, about 3 in 5

Loudoun61%Bookies 61

Draw20%Bookies 20

Brooklyn19%Bookies 19

Goals call3+ goals 67% · bookies 67% · ✓ 7 goals

The Verdict

The goals line splits the panel: the coach and dressing room see goals, while the sceptic notes the low-scoring head-to-head and Loudoun's 45% over rate. A home win with goals at both ends is the consensus shape.

✓ Favourite won (Loudoun 61%) Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

2 of 3 think Brooklyn's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Brooklyn favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Both sides leak goals, so an open game looks likely

Loudoun concede 1.55 per game and Brooklyn 2.03, with Brooklyn keeping clean sheets in just 10% of matches.

Brooklyn: slightly underrated Low

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Rest gap matters with both sides low in the table

Loudoun sit 22nd on 28 points, Brooklyn 24th on 21, so neither has much to show for the season. Loudoun's home form of D L D L W is shaky, but the fresher legs should tell.

✓ In line with bookmakers Fewer goals

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

Home price looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high

The 61% home number sits oddly against a head-to-head where Brooklyn won one and Loudoun one, with just 1.0 goals per game across the two. Loudoun's last six include three clean-ish low-scoring draws, and their over 2.5 rate is only 45%.

Brooklyn: slightly underrated Fewer goalsLow

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Loudoun United are clear favourites at 61%, with Brooklyn on 19% and the draw on 20%. Loudoun United are 22nd and Brooklyn 24th in the USL Championship. In their last five league games, Loudoun United won two and Brooklyn one.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Loudoun United win or draw: 81%
Either team wins (no draw): 80%
Brooklyn win or draw: 39%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 86%
3+ goals: 67%
4+ goals: 46%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 63%
No: 37%

We expect about 2.3 goals from Loudoun United and 1.2 from Brooklyn. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	23 Oct 17:00	61%	20%	19%	Stats preview	#803

Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Loudoun United: last 6

DLWDWL · 8 scored, 5 conceded

18 Oct	at Birmingham Legion	0–0	D
14 Oct	at Rhode Island	0–1	L
10 Oct	at Miami FC	2–0	W
3 Oct	vs Indy Eleven	1–1	D
25 Sep	at Sporting JAX	4–1	W
19 Sep	at Louisville City	1–2	L

Last 5 at home: DLDLW

Brooklyn: last 6

LWLLLD · 8 scored, 16 conceded

21 Oct	vs Birmingham Legion	1–2	L
17 Oct	at Hartford Athletic	3–2	W
3 Oct	vs Rhode Island	1–3	L
30 Sep	vs Detroit City	1–3	L
23 Sep	at Birmingham Legion	0–4	L
19 Sep	vs FC Tulsa	2–2	D

Last 5 away: WLLLL

Season stats

Loudoun United		Brooklyn
1.17	Goals scored per game	1.07
1.55	Goals conceded per game	2.03
1.43	Scored per game at home	1.07
0.93	Scored per game away	1.07
45%	Matches over 2.5 goals	66%
55%	Both teams scored	52%
34%	Clean sheets	10%
31%	Failed to score	38%

League matches only, 29 games each.

USL Championship table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
18	Las Vegas Lights	30	-7	36	LLLWL
19	Miami FC	30	-10	36	LLWWW
20	Indy Eleven	30	-6	34	LLLDL
21	Loudoun United	30	-10	31	WDLWD
22	Birmingham Legion	30	-6	30	LWDWL
23	Monterey Bay	30	-20	24	WLLWL
24	Brooklyn	30	-29	21	LLWLL
25	Sporting JAX	30	-46	14	LLLLL