Colorado Springs vs FC Tulsa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Colorado Springs to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
On goals, the sceptic and the coach both flag that Tulsa's low over rate makes the 51% over 2.5 line look a shade high, so the published numbers look broadly right on the result but slightly generous on goals.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTulsa's low-scoring away game meets a Springs side that leaks at home
Colorado Springs score 1.64 per game at home but concede 1.31 overall, while Tulsa keep clean sheets in 41% of matches and score 1.29 away. A tight, low-margin contest looks likely.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo mid-table sides, one point apart, with time to prepare
Colorado Springs sit 9th on 44 points, Tulsa 10th on 43 from the same 29 games, so this is a direct duel for position. Springs have drawn four of their last six, Tulsa five, and both had 7 days' rest with one game in 14. Expect caution from two evenly matched teams.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome price looks fair, but the goals line may be a touch high
With Tulsa over 2.5 in just 31% of games, the 51% over line looks slightly generous.
Colorado Springs: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Colorado Springs are clear favourites at 62%, with FC Tulsa on 16% and the draw on 22%. Colorado Springs are 10th and FC Tulsa 11th in the USL Championship. In their last five league games, Colorado Springs won one and FC Tulsa one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Colorado Springs win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 78%
- FC Tulsa win or draw
- 38%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 48%
- No
- 52%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Colorado Springs and 0.8 from FC Tulsa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 62% | 22% | 16% | Stats preview | #836 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Colorado Springs: last 6
WDDDDW · 4 scored, 2 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Monterey Bay | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Sacramento Republic | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Oakland Roots | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Detroit City | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs New Mexico United | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs San Antonio | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: DDWLW
FC Tulsa: last 6
LDDWDD · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Oakland Roots | 2–4 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Lexington | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Sacramento Republic | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs New Mexico United | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at El Paso Locomotive | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Brooklyn | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: DDDLD
Season stats
| Colorado Springs | FC Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 1.31 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.64 | Scored per game at home | 1.07 |
| 1.27 | Scored per game away | 1.29 |
| 48% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 31% |
| 55% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 24% | Clean sheets | 41% |
| 31% | Failed to score | 31% |
League matches only, 29 games each.
USL Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | El Paso Locomotive | 30 | +10 | 50 | LLWLD |
| 7 | Lexington | 30 | +18 | 48 | DWDWW |
| 8 | Louisville City | 30 | +8 | 47 | DWWWD |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 30 | +6 | 47 | WWDDD |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 30 | +3 | 45 | WDWLL |
| 11 | San Antonio | 30 | +2 | 45 | WWDLD |
| 12 | FC Tulsa | 30 | +3 | 43 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Hartford Athletic | 30 | +2 | 43 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Rhode Island | 30 | +9 | 42 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | -1 | 40 | DWWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Colorado Springs won 4, FC Tulsa 2, 0 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | FC Tulsa | 1–2 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 2 Nov 2025 | FC Tulsa | 1–0 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 26 Oct 2025 | FC Tulsa | 3–0 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Colorado Springs | 2–0 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
| 1 Sep 2024 | FC Tulsa | 1–4 | Colorado Springs | USL Championship |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Colorado Springs | 1–0 | FC Tulsa | USL Championship |
Match context
- Rest days
- Colorado Springs 6FC Tulsa 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Colorado Springs 2 · FC Tulsa 1
- Referee
- R. Albuquerque
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
