Charleston Battery vs Indy Eleven prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Charleston Battery to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 57% · bookies 57% · ✗ 1 goals
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published prices, with the coach and dressing room both leaning slightly more home-ward on form and stakes, the sceptic holding at the headline numbers. On goals, opinion splits: home scoring strength against Indy's blunt attack leaves over 2.5 near the published 57%, best described as a lean rather than a conviction.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks Charleston Battery are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Indy Eleven are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersIndy manage just 0.79 away goals per game and fail to score in 31% of matches.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureHome side have everything to play for, visitors have little momentum to call on
Charleston sit 2nd on 50 points, well clear of 20th-placed Indy on 34, and have taken W-W-D-W from their last five matches. Indy arrive on a five-game winless run.
Charleston Battery: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongNumbers look about right, with the 60% home line the only mild stretch
Charleston's 60% sits comfortably against a head-to-head of five wins in six, yet Indy won the 2026 meeting 2-0 and 4.2 goals per game in this fixture argues for more than 57% over 2.5.
Indy Eleven: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Charleston Battery are clear favourites at 60%, with Indy Eleven on 19% and the draw on 21%. Charleston Battery are 2nd and Indy Eleven 20th in the USL Championship. In their last five league games, Charleston Battery won three and Indy Eleven none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Charleston Battery win or draw
- 81%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Indy Eleven win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 57%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Charleston Battery and 1.0 from Indy Eleven. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 21% | 19% | Stats preview | #810 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Charleston Battery: last 6
WDLWWD · 8 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Miami FC | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Hartford Athletic | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Louisville City | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Rhode Island | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Monterey Bay | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Birmingham Legion | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: LWWLW
Indy Eleven: last 6
LLDLLL · 3 scored, 12 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Louisville City | 1–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Tampa Bay Rowdies | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Loudoun United | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | at Rhode Island | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Miami FC | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Oakland Roots | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLDL
Season stats
| Charleston Battery | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | Goals scored per game | 1.21 |
| 1.21 | Goals conceded per game | 1.38 |
| 2.57 | Scored per game at home | 1.60 |
| 1.27 | Scored per game away | 0.79 |
| 55% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| 48% | Both teams scored | 55% |
| 31% | Clean sheets | 14% |
| 21% | Failed to score | 31% |
League matches only, 29 games each.
USL Championship table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 30 | +26 | 61 | WWWLD |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 30 | +21 | 53 | WWDLW |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 30 | +11 | 52 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 30 | +14 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Detroit City | 30 | +13 | 51 | DLWWW |
| … | |||||
| 17 | Oakland Roots | 30 | -1 | 38 | LWDDW |
| 18 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | -7 | 36 | LLLWL |
| 19 | Miami FC | 30 | -10 | 36 | LLWWW |
| 20 | Indy Eleven | 30 | -6 | 34 | LLLDL |
| 21 | Loudoun United | 30 | -10 | 31 | WDLWD |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion | 30 | -6 | 30 | LWDWL |
| 23 | Monterey Bay | 30 | -20 | 24 | WLLWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Charleston Battery won 5, Indy Eleven 1, 0 draws; 4.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | Indy Eleven | 2–0 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 6 Sep 2025 | Charleston Battery | 2–1 | Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Indy Eleven | 1–3 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Charleston Battery | 5–0 | Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Indy Eleven | 2–4 | Charleston Battery | USL Championship |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Charleston Battery | 5–0 | Indy Eleven | USL Championship |
Match context
- Rest days
- Charleston Battery 6Indy Eleven 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Charleston Battery 2 · Indy Eleven 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
