Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Las Palmas to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55% · ✗ 1 goals
The Verdict
The analysis suggests a high-scoring affair, consistent with the 70% over 2.5 goals statistic. While both teams are in poor form, Las Palmas's home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture give them the edge over the struggling Real Sociedad II.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Las Palmas's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersLas Palmas's home attack meets Real Sociedad II's high-scoring away form.
Las Palmas averages 1.00 goals scored at home but concedes 1.90 per game. Real Sociedad II scores 1.80 away but concedes 2.10. Both teams have a 70% chance of matches going over 2.5 goals.
Las Palmas: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are under pressure, but Las Palmas holds a slight advantage in league standing.
Las Palmas sits 16th with 11 points from 10 games, while Real Sociedad II is 19th with 8 points. Las Palmas has 6 days rest, compared to 7 days for Real Sociedad II.
Las Palmas: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market reflects the underlying goal-scoring trends and historical head-to-head results.
The market gives Las Palmas a 49% chance, supported by 2 wins in the last 4 head-to-head encounters. Both teams have a 60% chance of scoring against each other.
Las Palmas: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Las Palmas are slight favourites at 44%, with Real Sociedad II on 29% and the draw on 27%. Las Palmas are 17th and Real Sociedad II 19th in Segunda División. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Las Palmas win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Real Sociedad II win or draw
- 56%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 57%
- No
- 43%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Las Palmas and 1.3 from Real Sociedad II. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 2–0 (7%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Las Palmas: last 6
LLDLLW · 7 scored, 13 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Castellón | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | at Mallorca | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Valladolid | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | at Eibar | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Burgos | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Cadiz | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDLDW
Real Sociedad II: last 6
LLLLLW · 9 scored, 16 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Almeria | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Celta de Vigo II | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Granada CF | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | at AD Ceuta FC | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Mallorca | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | at FC Andorra | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLWDW
Season stats
| Las Palmas | Real Sociedad II | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.30 | Goals scored per game | 1.40 |
| 1.90 | Goals conceded per game | 2.10 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game away | 1.80 |
| 70% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 30% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 20% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cordoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Eldense | 10 | +0 | 14 | WWWLL |
| 13 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | +0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 11 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | -4 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | -2 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | -13 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | -16 | 1 | LLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Las Palmas won 2, Real Sociedad II 0, 2 draws; 1.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Real Sociedad II | 1–1 | Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Las Palmas | 2–1 | Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| 30 Jan 2022 | Las Palmas | 0–0 | Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| 29 Oct 2021 | Real Sociedad II | 0–1 | Las Palmas | Segunda División |
Match context
- Rest days
- Las Palmas 6Real Sociedad II 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Las Palmas 2 · Real Sociedad II 2
- Referee
- Morales Moreno Pablo
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
