Girona vs RC Celta Fortuna prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Girona to win: 71%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 6 goals
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a strong home performance from Girona. The Coach highlights their attacking efficiency, the Dressing Room points to their superior league standing and rest, and the Sceptic confirms the high probability of goals. All readings point towards a comfortable victory for the hosts.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks Girona are underrated; The Dressing Room thinks a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersGirona's high-scoring home attack should overwhelm RC Celta Fortuna.
Girona averages 1.83 goals scored per game at home, while Celta averages only 1.00 goal scored away. Girona concedes a low 0.90 goals per game in this competition.
Girona: clearly underrated
Med The Dressing Room
the table and pressureGirona's strong league position and rest advantage should see them control the match.
Girona sits 5th in the table with 18 points from 10 games, having 6 days rest. Celta is 14th with 12 points and has only had 4 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market seems to undervalue the potential for goals in this fixture.
The data shows 84% of matches feature 2 or more goals, and 63% feature 3 or more goals. Both teams have a 60% chance of scoring against each other.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Girona are clear favourites at 71%, with RC Celta Fortuna on 11% and the draw on 18%. Girona are 7th and RC Celta Fortuna 15th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Girona won three and RC Celta Fortuna one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Girona win or draw
- 89%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- RC Celta Fortuna win or draw
- 29%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 84%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Girona and 0.9 from RC Celta Fortuna. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 71% | 19% | 11% | Stats preview | #731 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Girona: last 6
WDDWWL · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs FC Andorra | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Oct | at Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Mallorca | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | vs Albacete | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Cadiz | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Castellón | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDWLW
RC Celta Fortuna: last 6
DWLDLL · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Tenerife | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Real Sociedad II | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | at Sporting Gijon | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Sabadell | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Almeria | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Eibar | 0–4 | L |
Last 4 away: LLWD
Season stats
| Girona | RC Celta Fortuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 0.90 | Goals conceded per game | 1.60 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.83 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 40% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 40% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 30% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 11 | +13 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | +14 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 11 | +7 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Girona | 11 | +12 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | +4 | 20 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | +2 | 19 | WWWLW |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | +0 | 12 | LLWDW |
| 16 | RC Celta Fortuna | 11 | -5 | 12 | LDWLD |
| 17 | Leganes | 11 | -9 | 12 | DLLLL |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 10 | -4 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 11 | -8 | 8 | LLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Girona 6RC Celta Fortuna 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Girona 2 · RC Celta Fortuna 2
- Referee
- Jose Guzman
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
