CD Sabadell 10thLWDDW

1–1

Sun 25 OctUK time (GMT)

Full time

Tenerife 14thDDLDL

CD Sabadell vs Tenerife prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model

Who wins?

CD Sabadell to win: 50%, about 1 in 2

CD Sabadell50%Bookies 50

Draw30%Bookies 30

Tenerife20%Bookies 20

Goals call2 goals or fewer 64% · bookies 64% · ✓ 2 goals

The Verdict

The analysis points towards a competitive match where Sabadell's home advantage is key. Tenerife's high-scoring away record and the history of goals in the head-to-head suggest a lively encounter, even if the draw probability remains significant.

! Drawn: we gave a draw 30% Ledger record ↗

AI forecastStats & H2HLineups & info

What our AI analysts say

All three think Tenerife's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Tenerife favourites.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Sabadell's strong home attack meets Tenerife's high-risk away form.

Sabadell scores 1.75 goals per game at home, while Tenerife scores 1.40 goals per game away. Tenerife concedes 1.40 goals per game away.

Tenerife: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Sabadell holds a slight advantage in the league standings and recent recovery.

Sabadell sits 10th with 16 points from 10 games, while Tenerife is 12th with 13 points from 10 games. Sabadell has 6 days rest compared to Tenerife's 5 days.

Tenerife: clearly underrated More goalsMed

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The high frequency of goals in the past two meetings suggests a high-scoring affair.

The last two head-to-head matches saw 2.5 goals per game. Tenerife has a 60% rate of both teams scoring, compared to Sabadell's 40%.

Tenerife: clearly underrated More goalsMed

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

CD Sabadell are favourites at 50%, with Tenerife on 20% and the draw on 30%. CD Sabadell are 10th and Tenerife 14th in Segunda División. In their last five league games, CD Sabadell won two and Tenerife none.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

CD Sabadell win or draw: 80%
Either team wins (no draw): 70%
Tenerife win or draw: 50%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals: 62%
3+ goals: 35%
4+ goals: 16%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes: 39%
No: 61%

We expect about 1.4 goals from CD Sabadell and 0.8 from Tenerife. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–0 (16%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 6. Next: 1–1 (12%), 0–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#	Published	Home	Draw	Away	Reason	Record
1	24 Oct 14:03	49%	27%	24%	Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)	#999
2	25 Oct 07:54	50%	30%	20%	Prices moved	#1332

Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

CD Sabadell: last 6

LWDDWL · 6 scored, 6 conceded

18 Oct	at Burgos	0–1	L
10 Oct	at AD Ceuta FC	2–1	W
4 Oct	vs FC Andorra	0–0	D
26 Sep	at Celta de Vigo II	1–1	D
20 Sep	vs Oviedo	3–1	W
13 Sep	at Mallorca	0–2	L

Last 4 at home: DWWW

Tenerife: last 6

DDLDLW · 7 scored, 11 conceded

19 Oct	at Celta de Vigo II	1–1	D
12 Oct	vs Girona	1–1	D
5 Oct	at Cordoba	2–3	L
26 Sep	vs Cadiz	1–1	D
19 Sep	at Castellón	0–5	L
13 Sep	vs Leganes	2–0	W

Last 5 away: DLLDW

Season stats

CD Sabadell		Tenerife
1.00	Goals scored per game	1.20
0.80	Goals conceded per game	1.40
1.75	Scored per game at home	1.00
0.50	Scored per game away	1.40
30%	Matches over 2.5 goals	30%
40%	Both teams scored	60%
40%	Clean sheets	20%
50%	Failed to score	20%

League matches only, 10 games each.

Segunda División table

#	Team	Pld	Goal diff.	Points	League form
7	Sporting Gijon	10	+2	19	WWWLW
8	Oviedo	11	+3	18	DWWLW
9	Burgos	10	+3	17	WLLWW
10	CD Sabadell	11	+2	17	DLWDD
11	Cordoba	11	-3	15	WWLWL
12	Eldense	10	+0	14	WWWLL
13	Tenerife	11	-2	14	DDDLD
14	Las Palmas	11	-5	14	WLLDL
15	Valladolid	11	+0	12	LLWDW
16	Celta de Vigo II	11	-5	12	LDWLD