Córdoba vs Eibar prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Córdoba to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
The split is on the 1X2 - the coach and dressing room keep Córdoba near the published 44% on home wins and scoring form, while the sceptic leans towards Eibar on their away run and head-to-head record. A tight home lean with goals at both ends is the consensus.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Eibar's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Eibar favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides' scoring and conceding rates point to an open game with chances at both ends.
Córdoba concede 2.00 per game and keep clean sheets just 10% of the time, while Eibar score 2.20 per game away. Córdoba's matches go over 2.5 goals 80% of the time and both teams score in 80% of them, so goals at both ends look likely.
Eibar: clearly underrated
More goalsMed The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThird-placed Eibar bring stronger form, but Córdoba's home wins show they can compete.
Eibar sit 3rd on 22 points from 10 games; Córdoba are 15th on 12. Eibar have won four of their last five away games, yet Córdoba's last four at home read W L L W. Both had two games in 14 days, so fatigue is even.
Eibar: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market's home lean looks generous given Eibar's away record and head-to-head edge.
Eibar have won 3 of the last 6 meetings, including 2-0 in 2026 and 4-1 in 2025, and their expected goals edge (1.3 v 1.7) is narrower than the form gap suggests. Córdoba lost 3 of their last 6, so 44% home may be a touch high; I shade Eibar up.
Eibar: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Córdoba are favourites at 47%, with Eibar on 26% and the draw on 27%. Córdoba are 15th and Eibar 3rd in Segunda División. In their last five league games, Córdoba won three and Eibar three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Córdoba win or draw
- 74%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- Eibar win or draw
- 53%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.8 goals from Córdoba and 1.3 from Eibar. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 2–0 (7%), 1–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Córdoba: last 6
WLWLWL · 8 scored, 10 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Leganes | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Eldense | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Oct | vs Tenerife | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | at Valladolid | 1–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Albacete | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLLW
Eibar: last 6
DLWWWW · 14 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Mallorca | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | at Oviedo | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Albacete | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Las Palmas | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Eldense | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Celta de Vigo II | 4–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWWWW
Season stats
| Córdoba | Eibar | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.10 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 2.20 |
| 80% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 10 games each.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 11 | +13 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Castellón | 10 | +14 | 23 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Eibar | 11 | +7 | 22 | LDLWW |
| 4 | Girona | 11 | +12 | 21 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Granada CF | 11 | +4 | 20 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Mallorca | 11 | +7 | 19 | DDWDL |
| … | |||||
| 8 | Oviedo | 11 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 9 | Burgos | 10 | +3 | 17 | WLLWW |
| 10 | Sabadell | 11 | +2 | 17 | DLWDD |
| 11 | Córdoba | 11 | -3 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 12 | Eldense | 10 | +0 | 14 | WWWLL |
| 13 | Tenerife | 11 | -2 | 14 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 11 | -5 | 14 | WLLDL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Córdoba won 1, Eibar 3, 2 draws; 2.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Eibar | 2–0 | Córdoba | Segunda División |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Córdoba | 0–0 | Eibar | Segunda División |
| 25 May 2025 | Eibar | 4–1 | Córdoba | Segunda División |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Córdoba | 2–1 | Eibar | Segunda División |
| 23 May 2015 | Eibar | 3–0 | Córdoba | La Liga |
| 16 Jan 2015 | Córdoba | 1–1 | Eibar | La Liga |
Match context
- Rest days
- Córdoba 7Eibar 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Córdoba 2 · Eibar 2
- Referee
- Gordillo
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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