Fleetwood Town vs Bristol Rovers prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Bristol Rovers 37%)
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysts suggest a competitive match where both teams have attacking capabilities. While Bristol Rovers' away form is poor, the overall statistics point towards a high-scoring encounter in League Two.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Fleetwood Town's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersFleetwood's strong attacking periods clash with Bristol Rovers' late-game defensive struggles.
Fleetwood scores 5 goals in the 61-75 period. Bristol Rovers concede 7 goals in the 76-90 period.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are positioned in the lower half of the table, seeking stability.
Bristol Rovers sit 15th with 16 points from 13 games. Fleetwood Town is 18th with 14 points from 13 games.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongBristol Rovers' recent away form suggests the market may be overestimating their chances.
Bristol Rovers have lost their last 5 away fixtures, scoring only 2 goals and conceding 13.
Fleetwood: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Bristol Rovers are slight favourites at 37%, with Fleetwood Town on 35% and the draw on 28%. Fleetwood Town are 18th and Bristol Rovers 15th in the League Two. In their last five league games, Fleetwood Town won one and Bristol Rovers none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Fleetwood Town win or draw
- 63%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Bristol Rovers win or draw
- 65%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- 4+ goals
- 30%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Fleetwood Town and 1.4 from Bristol Rovers. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 25% | 24% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1835 | |
| 2 | 35% | 28% | 37% | Prices moved | #2106 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Fleetwood Town: last 6
LLWDWL · 10 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Exeter City | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | at Cheltenham | 2–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Rotherham | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Walsall | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Barnsley EFL Trophy | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Salford City | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WDWLW
Bristol Rovers: last 6
DLLLLL · 4 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Swindon Town | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Salford City | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Shrewsbury | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Barnet | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Wycombe EFL Trophy | 1–4 | L |
| 3 Oct | at Crewe | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Fleetwood Town | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Goals scored per game | 1.23 |
| 1.31 | Goals conceded per game | 1.54 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game at home | 1.57 |
| 1.14 | Scored per game away | 0.83 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| 62% | Both teams scored | 38% |
| 31% | Clean sheets | 38% |
| 15% | Failed to score | 31% |
| 2.46 | Yellow cards per game | 2.46 |
League matches only, 13 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Fleetwood Town | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League Two table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | +0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | +0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | +0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | +0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
Match context
- Stadium
- Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood, Lancashire
- 5,327 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Fleetwood Town 7Bristol Rovers 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Fleetwood Town 2 · Bristol Rovers 2
- Coaches
- M. Lawlor
- Fleetwood Town, since Aug 2026
- S. Evans
- Bristol Rovers, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
