SV Elversberg vs SV Darmstadt 98 prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
SV Elversberg to win: 69%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three land near the published prices: a clear home lean around 70% for Elversberg, with the Sceptic noting the evenly split head-to-head and the 2025 0-0 as mild checks on the 65% over-2.5 line.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersHome firepower points to goals, with Elversberg too strong at this level of attack.
Elversberg's home games have been wild: 8 scored and 7 conceded in their last 3 there. They put 4 past Augsburg and 4 past Gladbach in this run. Darmstadt arrive shipping goals away - 14 conceded in their last 5 on the road.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureA cup night where the second-division visitors' away slump is the defining pressure point.
Both sides played twice in 14 days, with Elversberg one day less rest. Elversberg come off a heavy 0-4 defeat at Leipzig, while Darmstadt's away record reads L L L W L with 14 conceded.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe home price looks right, but the head-to-head pattern tempers the total.
The numbers favour Elversberg 70%, and their H2H is genuinely split: 2 wins each, 2 draws across 6, with tight recent meetings like 0-0 and 3-3.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
Takes 1–3 minutes: we search the news and read the sources. Keep this page open, it reloads when the analysis is ready. It is saved for everyone who opens this match.
Full analysis in progress
Starting…
Usually 1–3 minutes. Keep this page open.
The full analysis is ready. Loading it…
The full analysis could not be completed. Please try again later.
Too many requests right now. Please try again in a few minutes.
In short
SV Elversberg are clear favourites at 69%, with SV Darmstadt 98 on 14% and the draw on 17%. In their last five matches across all competitions, SV Elversberg won one and SV Darmstadt 98 two. The prices point to about 3.4 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- SV Elversberg win or draw
- 86%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- SV Darmstadt 98 win or draw
- 30%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 2.4 goals from SV Elversberg and 1.0 from SV Darmstadt 98. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%), 3–0 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 17% | 14% | Stats preview | #1614 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
SV Elversberg: last 6
LWLDLW · 9 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | at RB Leipzig Bundesliga | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs FC Augsburg Bundesliga | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Union Berlin Bundesliga | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at FC Schalke 04 Bundesliga | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Bayern München Bundesliga | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | at Borussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga | 4–3 | W |
Last 3 at home: WLW
SV Darmstadt 98: last 6
DLWLWL · 6 scored, 14 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs FC St. Pauli 2. Bundesliga | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Karlsruher SC 2. Bundesliga | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Energie Cottbus 2. Bundesliga | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | at VfL Wolfsburg 2. Bundesliga | 1–5 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Arminia Bielefeld 2. Bundesliga | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLWL
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: SV Elversberg won 2, SV Darmstadt 98 2, 2 draws; 3.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3–3 | SV Elversberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 30 Nov 2025 | SV Elversberg | 0–0 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 8 Feb 2025 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 0–3 | SV Elversberg | 2. Bundesliga |
| 31 Aug 2024 | SV Elversberg | 4–0 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 13 Oct 2023 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 4–2 | SV Elversberg | Friendlies Clubs |
| 20 Dec 2013 | SV Elversberg | 0–3 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3. Liga |
Match context
- Travel for SV Darmstadt 98
- 125 km
- Rest days
- SV Elversberg 3SV Darmstadt 98 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: SV Elversberg 2 · SV Darmstadt 98 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- V. Wagner
- SV Elversberg, since Oct 2026
- F. Kohfeldt
- SV Darmstadt 98, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- DFB-Pokal average: 4.62 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
