Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04 prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Schalke 04 to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 59% · bookies 59%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Schalke 04's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersSchalke's away scoring edges a cup tie that should produce chances at both ends
Schalke have scored 9 in their last 5 away games, and Dresden's home record of W L L W with 5 scored and 4 conceded suggests an open game. Both teams score in 60% of the underlying numbers, and this competition averages 4.62 goals per match this season.
Schalke 04: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureA short rest and a heavy run of league games shape a tense cup night
Dresden's last six league games include three defeats and two draws, while Schalke's recent run shows draws and narrow losses, pointing to a tight, cautious contest.
Schalke 04: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 47% for Schalke looks fair given their away record and the head-to-head
Schalke have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads, including 0-1 in Dresden in 2025, and the 2-2 draw earlier in 2026 fits the 60% both-teams-score rate.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
Takes 1–3 minutes: we search the news and read the sources. Keep this page open, it reloads when the analysis is ready. It is saved for everyone who opens this match.
Full analysis in progress
Starting…
Usually 1–3 minutes. Keep this page open.
The full analysis is ready. Loading it…
The full analysis could not be completed. Please try again later.
Too many requests right now. Please try again in a few minutes.
In short
Schalke 04 are favourites at 47%, with Dynamo Dresden on 28% and the draw on 25%. In their last five matches across all competitions, Dynamo Dresden won one and Schalke 04 one. The prices point to about 3.1 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Dynamo Dresden win or draw
- 53%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Schalke 04 win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 81%
- 3+ goals
- 59%
- 4+ goals
- 37%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 60%
- No
- 40%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Dynamo Dresden and 1.7 from Schalke 04. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%), 0–2 (7%), 2–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28% | 25% | 47% | Stats preview | #1672 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Dynamo Dresden: last 6
LWDLDL · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 25 Oct | at Holstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs 1. FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at VfL Osnabrück 2. Bundesliga | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Hertha BSC 2. Bundesliga | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Eintracht Braunschweig 2. Bundesliga | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs VfL Bochum 2. Bundesliga | 1–2 | L |
Last 4 at home: WLLW
Schalke 04: last 6
DLLDWD · 4 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | at SC Freiburg Bundesliga | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs SV Elversberg Bundesliga | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Union Berlin Bundesliga | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Bayern München Bundesliga | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: DLWLW
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Dynamo Dresden won 1, Schalke 04 3, 1 draw; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Schalke 04 | 2–2 | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Dynamo Dresden | 0–1 | Schalke 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 1 Apr 2022 | Dynamo Dresden | 1–2 | Schalke 04 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 23 Oct 2021 | Schalke 04 | 3–0 | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga |
| 18 Aug 2014 | Dynamo Dresden | 2–1 | Schalke 04 | DFB Pokal |
Match context
- Travel for Schalke 04
- 464 km
- Rest days
- Dynamo Dresden 3Schalke 04 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Dynamo Dresden 2 · Schalke 04 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 12°C · wind 5 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- M. Muslić
- Schalke 04, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- DFB-Pokal average: 4.62 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
