Hamburg SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Eintracht Frankfurt to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a match with a clear edge to Eintracht Frankfurt, supported by their strong away scoring record. However, the high number of goals in recent history and the high BTTS probability suggest a volatile, open contest regardless of the final result.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three think Hamburg SV's chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Hamburg SV favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersFrankfurt's potent away attack contrasts sharply with Hamburg's high rate of conceding goals at home.
Eintracht Frankfurt has scored 17 and conceded 11 in its last 5 away fixtures.
Hamburg SV: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides face a similar fixture load and recent form volatility heading into the DFB-Pokal.
Hamburg SV's last 6 games show 3 wins and 3 losses.
Hamburg SV: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market correctly identifies Frankfurt as the favourite but may underestimate the high-scoring potential of the match.
The market suggests a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals, which aligns with the 64% BTTS rate.
Hamburg SV: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites at 47%, with Hamburg SV on 28% and the draw on 25%. In their last five matches across all competitions, Hamburg SV won three and Eintracht Frankfurt two. The prices point to about 3.3 goals.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hamburg SV win or draw
- 53%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Eintracht Frankfurt win or draw
- 72%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 65%
- No
- 35%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Hamburg SV and 1.9 from Eintracht Frankfurt. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 0–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32% | 26% | 42% | Stats preview | #1584 | |
| 2 | 31% | 25% | 44% | Prices moved | #1634 | |
| 3 | 28% | 25% | 47% | Prices moved | #2240 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hamburg SV: last 6
LWWWLL · 6 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | at SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at 1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | at RB Leipzig Bundesliga | 0–5 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 0–5 | L |
Last 3 at home: WWL
Eintracht Frankfurt: last 6
LWLDWL · 7 scored, 14 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs 1. FC Köln Bundesliga | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at RB Leipzig Bundesliga | 0–6 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs SC Freiburg Bundesliga | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | at FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs FC Augsburg Bundesliga | 1–4 | L |
Last 5 away: LLWDW
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Hamburg SV won 1, Eintracht Frankfurt 3, 2 draws; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1–2 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Hamburg SV | 1–1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 5 May 2018 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–0 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 12 Dec 2017 | Hamburg SV | 1–2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0–0 | Hamburg SV | Bundesliga |
| 21 Oct 2016 | Hamburg SV | 0–3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Bundesliga |
Match context
- Travel for Eintracht Frankfurt
- 431 km
- Rest days
- Hamburg SV 3Eintracht Frankfurt 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hamburg SV 2 · Eintracht Frankfurt 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 10 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- M. Polzin
- Hamburg SV, since Oct 2026
- A. Hütter
- Eintracht Frankfurt, since Oct 2026
- Goals in this league
- DFB-Pokal average: 4.62 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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