Sivasspor vs Boluspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Sivasspor to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
Key factors
In short
Sivasspor are clear favourites at 63%, with Boluspor on 16% and the draw on 21%. Sivasspor are 14th and Boluspor 20th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Sivasspor won one and Boluspor none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Sivasspor win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Boluspor win or draw
- 36%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 34%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Sivasspor and 0.9 from Boluspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 66% | 21% | 13% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #2044 | |
| 2 | 64% | 21% | 16% | Prices moved | #2162 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Sivasspor: last 6
LDDWDD · 8 scored, 9 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Ümraniyespor | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Sarıyer | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | at Bandırmaspor | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Pendikspor | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Keçiörengücü | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Muğlaspor | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: DWDDD
Boluspor: last 6
LLLLDL · 2 scored, 14 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Vanspor FK | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | at Iğdır FK | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Antalyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Sarıyer | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Pendikspor | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Bandırmaspor | 0–6 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLLL
Season stats
| Sivasspor | Boluspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Goals scored per game | 0.27 |
| 1.50 | Goals conceded per game | 2.27 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 0.33 |
| 0.83 | Scored per game away | 0.20 |
| 50% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| 75% | Both teams scored | 27% |
| 8% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 73% |
League matches only, 12 and 11 games.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | -3 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Match context
- Travel for Boluspor
- 472 km
- Rest days
- Sivasspor 8Boluspor 8
- Matches in the last 14 days: Sivasspor 1 · Boluspor 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 14°C · wind 7 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Turkish 1. Lig average: 2.76 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
