İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 prediction
Data modelGoals model, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mardin 1969 to win: 62%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 56%
No bookmaker prices: these numbers come from our goals model only.
Key factors
In short
Mardin 1969 are clear favourites at 62%, with İstanbulspor on 17% and the draw on 21%. İstanbulspor are 19th and Mardin 1969 5th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, İstanbulspor won one and Mardin 1969 three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- İstanbulspor win or draw
- 38%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Mardin 1969 win or draw
- 83%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 0.9 goals from İstanbulspor and 2.0 from Mardin 1969. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–3 (7%).
How these numbers are made
No bookmaker priced this match, so the numbers come from our goals model: attack and defence ratings from this season's results in this league, with home advantage. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 21% | 62% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1827 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
İstanbulspor: last 6
LLLLWL · 3 scored, 16 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Muğlaspor | 0–5 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Antalyaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | at Batman Petrolspor | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Manisa F.K. | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | at Kayserispor | 0–4 | L |
Last 5 at home: LLLDD
Mardin 1969: last 6
WLWWLL · 7 scored, 8 conceded
| 26 Oct | vs Manisa F.K. | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | at Esenler Erokspor | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Fatih Karagümrük | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Bursaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Kayserispor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Iğdır FK | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LWLDW
Season stats
| İstanbulspor | Mardin 1969 | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Goals scored per game | 1.33 |
| 2.58 | Goals conceded per game | 0.92 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game at home | 1.17 |
| 0.71 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| 42% | Both teams scored | 42% |
| 8% | Clean sheets | 42% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | +5 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | +8 | 20 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| … | |||||
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | -3 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Match context
- Travel for Mardin 1969
- 1,095 km
- Rest days
- İstanbulspor 8Mardin 1969 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: İstanbulspor 2 · Mardin 1969 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Turkish 1. Lig average: 2.76 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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