Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Iğdır FK to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 50% · bookies 50%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
In short
Iğdır FK are favourites at 46%, with Antalyaspor on 28% and the draw on 26%. Iğdır FK are 3rd and Antalyaspor 8th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Iğdır FK won three and Antalyaspor three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Iğdır FK win or draw
- 72%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Antalyaspor win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Iğdır FK and 1.1 from Antalyaspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (8%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55% | 23% | 21% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1858 | |
| 2 | 46% | 26% | 28% | Prices moved | #2194 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Iğdır FK: last 6
WWDWDW · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Bandırmaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Boluspor | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Keçiörengücü | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Batman Petrolspor | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Muğlaspor | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Mardin 1969 | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWL
Antalyaspor: last 6
LWLWWW · 9 scored, 7 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Bodrum FK | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | at İstanbulspor | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Kayserispor | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Boluspor | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Vanspor FK | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Ümraniyespor | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WWWWL
Season stats
| Iğdır FK | Antalyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 0.75 | Goals conceded per game | 1.58 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.71 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 42% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 42% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 42% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | +15 | 28 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | +5 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | +8 | 20 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
Match context
- Rest days
- Iğdır FK 8Antalyaspor 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Iğdır FK 1 · Antalyaspor 2
- Goals in this league
- Turkish 1. Lig average: 2.76 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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