Fatih Karagümrük vs Pendikspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Fatih Karagümrük to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 50% · bookies 50%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards a home win, with the Coach and Dressing Room close to the published 52% and the Sceptic trimming it slightly on Karagümrük's low over rate. On goals, the Coach's both-teams-score case against the Sceptic's caution roughly balances around the published 50% for over 2.5.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Fatih Karagümrük's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKaragümrük's home scoring against Pendikspor's leaky defence points to goals.
Pendikspor concede 1.92 per game with clean sheets in just 8% of matches, and both teams have scored in 75% of their games. Karagümrük average 1.33 at home, but their own 1.25 conceded per game keeps the visitors involved.
Fatih Karagümrük: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table hosts with the steadier platform against a struggling visitor.
Karagümrük sit 10th on 16 points from 12 games, four wins and four draws, while Pendikspor are 16th on 11 with only two wins. The visitors have lost three of their last six and conceded 11 in their last five away games.
Fatih Karagümrük: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome favouritism looks fair, but the over line may be slightly generous.
Pendikspor's away record of L L D L W with 11 conceded suggests fragility, yet the 50% over price sits above the hosts' own profile.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Fatih Karagümrük are favourites at 52%, with Pendikspor on 23% and the draw on 25%. Fatih Karagümrük are 10th and Pendikspor 16th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Fatih Karagümrük won two and Pendikspor none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Fatih Karagümrük win or draw
- 77%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Pendikspor win or draw
- 48%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- 4+ goals
- 28%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Fatih Karagümrük and 1.0 from Pendikspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 25% | 23% | Stats preview | #1994 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Fatih Karagümrük: last 6
WLLDWD · 7 scored, 5 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Sarıyer | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Keçiörengücü | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | at Mardin 1969 | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Muğlaspor | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Esenler Erokspor | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Manisa F.K. | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDDDW
Pendikspor: last 6
DLLLDD · 6 scored, 12 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Kayserispor | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | at Bursaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Vanspor FK | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Sivasspor | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bodrum FK | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Boluspor | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 away: LLDLW
Season stats
| Fatih Karagümrük | Pendikspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 1.92 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 67% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 8% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | -3 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
Match context
- Travel for Pendikspor
- 0 km
- Rest days
- Fatih Karagümrük 6Pendikspor 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Fatih Karagümrük 2 · Pendikspor 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 16°C · wind 13 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Turkish 1. Lig average: 2.76 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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