Manisa F.K. vs Batman Petrolspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Batman Petrolspor to win: 41%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings lean the same way: Batman Petrolspor's superior scoring rate and table position make them narrow favourites, with Manisa's home resilience keeping the draw live. On goals, the coach and sceptic both land near the published 61% for over 2.5, so the numbers look broadly consistent with the data.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals in Manisa
Manisa concede 1.83 per game with clean sheets in just 8% of matches; Batman concede 1.75 and keep 17%. Expected goals of 1.5 and 1.7 fit a 3-2-style scoreline.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBatman's class shows, but Manisa fight at home
Batman sit 4th on 23 points from 12 games; Manisa are 17th on 10. Manisa are winless in four at home (L D L L D) yet Batman have taken just one win from their last five away (D L L W W). Manisa's extra day less rest is a small edge to the visitors.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongAway favouritism looks fair, over maybe a touch high
Batman's 41% is backed by 2.08 goals scored per game versus Manisa's 1.58, though Batman lost two of their last three and shipped four at Bodrum. Manisa's 33% looks generous given two wins in twelve. The 61% over line sits above the 39% rate for 4+ goals but 3+ has hit 61% - about right.
Manisa F.K.: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Batman Petrolspor are slight favourites at 41%, with Manisa F.K. on 33% and the draw on 26%. Manisa F.K. are 17th and Batman Petrolspor 4th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Manisa F.K. won none and Batman Petrolspor two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Manisa F.K. win or draw
- 59%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Batman Petrolspor win or draw
- 67%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 39%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 63%
- No
- 37%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Manisa F.K. and 1.7 from Batman Petrolspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 0–1 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38% | 20% | 42% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1993 | |
| 2 | 33% | 26% | 41% | Prices moved | #2155 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Manisa F.K.: last 6
LLDLLD · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 26 Oct | at Mardin 1969 | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | vs Muğlaspor | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Kayserispor | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs İstanbulspor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Fatih Karagümrük | 1–1 | D |
Last 5 at home: LDLLD
Batman Petrolspor: last 6
WDWLLL · 11 scored, 14 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Kayserispor | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs İstanbulspor | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Iğdır FK | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bursaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Bodrum FK | 0–4 | L |
Last 5 away: DLLWW
Season stats
| Manisa F.K. | Batman Petrolspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | Goals scored per game | 2.08 |
| 1.83 | Goals conceded per game | 1.75 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.67 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 8% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 8% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bursaspor | 12 | +15 | 28 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Mardin 1969 | 12 | +5 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Keçiörengücü | 12 | +8 | 20 | LWDWD |
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 12 | -3 | 10 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Match context
- Travel for Batman Petrolspor
- 1,198 km
- Rest days
- Manisa F.K. 4Batman Petrolspor 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Manisa F.K. 2 · Batman Petrolspor 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 18°C · wind 2 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Turkish 1. Lig average: 2.76 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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