Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Mardin 1969 to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The combined analysis suggests Mardin 1969 is the likely winner, supported by their league position and home form. However, the high scoring rates for both sides indicate that the match will likely feature multiple goals.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Manisa F.K.'s chances are better than the bookmakers say. None of them makes Manisa F.K. favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersMardin's strong home attacking metrics should give them the edge over Manisa.
Mardin 1969 scores 1.00 per game at home and concedes 0.91 per game. Manisa F.K. scores 1.50 per game away and concedes 1.80 per game away.
Manisa F.K.: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMardin's higher league standing and home record give them a clear advantage in this fixture.
Mardin 1969 is 7th in the table with 18 points from 11 games. Manisa F.K. is 17th in the table with 10 points from 11 games. Both teams have 7 days rest.
Manisa F.K.: slightly underrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market favours Mardin, but Manisa's high scoring form suggests a goal-heavy affair.
Mardin 1969 has a 59% win probability published, while Manisa F.K. has scored 1.64 goals per game overall. Mardin has won 3 of their last 5 home games.
Manisa F.K.: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Mardin 1969 are clear favourites at 60%, with Manisa F.K. on 17% and the draw on 23%. Mardin 1969 are 7th and Manisa F.K. 17th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Mardin 1969 won two and Manisa F.K. none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Mardin 1969 win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 77%
- Manisa F.K. win or draw
- 41%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 52%
- No
- 48%
We expect about 1.9 goals from Mardin 1969 and 0.9 from Manisa F.K.. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59% | 23% | 17% | Stats preview | #1485 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Mardin 1969: last 6
LWWLLW · 6 scored, 7 conceded
| 19 Oct | at Esenler Erokspor | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Fatih Karagümrük | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Bursaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Kayserispor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Iğdır FK | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Bodrum FK | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWDW
Manisa F.K.: last 6
LDLLDL · 8 scored, 12 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Muğlaspor | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Oct | vs Esenler Erokspor | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Kayserispor | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs İstanbulspor | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Fatih Karagümrük | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Bursaspor | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 away: LDLDW
Season stats
| Mardin 1969 | Manisa F.K. | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | Goals scored per game | 1.64 |
| 0.91 | Goals conceded per game | 1.82 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.80 |
| 36% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| 36% | Both teams scored | 82% |
| 45% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 18% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Match context
- Rest days
- Mardin 1969 7Manisa F.K. 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Mardin 1969 2 · Manisa F.K. 2
- Referee
- Hakan Ulker
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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