Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Antalyaspor to win: 52%, about 1 in 2
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
The three readings suggest a tight contest where Antalyaspor's home attacking power is balanced by Bodrum FK's defensive resilience. The probabilities cluster around a low-to-moderate goal count, making the over 2.5 goals line a close proposition.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Bodrum FK's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersAntalyaspor's high scoring at home clashes with Bodrum FK's defensive solidity on the road.
Antalyaspor averages 1.83 goals scored per game at home, but also concedes 1.55 goals per game. Bodrum FK is defensively strong away, conceding only 0.91 goals per game.
Bodrum FK: strongly underrated
High The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe pressure is on both sides as Antalyaspor seeks to improve their league standing.
Antalyaspor sits 7th with 18 points from 11 games, while Bodrum FK is 11th with 14 points. Antalyaspor has 6 days rest, and Bodrum FK has 7 days rest.
Bodrum FK: strongly underrated
High The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe published probabilities might undervalue the defensive nature of the away side.
The Head-to-Head average goals is 2.8, but Bodrum FK has failed to score in 18% of their matches. Their away form shows 7 goals scored in 5 games.
Bodrum FK: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Antalyaspor are favourites at 52%, with Bodrum FK on 22% and the draw on 26%. Antalyaspor are 8th and Bodrum FK 12th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Antalyaspor won four and Bodrum FK three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Antalyaspor win or draw
- 78%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Bodrum FK win or draw
- 48%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 1.6 goals from Antalyaspor and 1.0 from Bodrum FK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 0–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34% | 26% | 40% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #997 | |
| 2 | 52% | 26% | 22% | Prices moved | #1290 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Antalyaspor: last 6
WLWWWL · 9 scored, 7 conceded
| 18 Oct | at İstanbulspor | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Kayserispor | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Boluspor | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Vanspor FK | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Ümraniyespor | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Sivasspor | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LWLLL
Bodrum FK: last 6
WWLDWL · 11 scored, 6 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Bandırmaspor | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Oct | at Sarıyer | 4–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Keçiörengücü | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Pendikspor | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Batman Petrolspor | 4–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | at Mardin 1969 | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: WDLDD
Season stats
| Antalyaspor | Bodrum FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Goals scored per game | 1.18 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 0.91 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 64% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 45% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 36% | Clean sheets | 36% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 55% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 12 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Antalyaspor won 2, Bodrum FK 1, 1 draw; 2.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Bodrum FK | 0–0 | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig |
| 5 Feb 2025 | Bodrum FK | 3–1 | Antalyaspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Antalyaspor | 3–2 | Bodrum FK | Süper Lig |
| 14 Jul 2022 | Antalyaspor | 2–0 | Bodrum FK | Friendlies Clubs |
Match context
- Rest days
- Antalyaspor 6Bodrum FK 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Antalyaspor 2 · Bodrum FK 2
- Referee
- Ilker Yasin Avci
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
