Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Esenler Erokspor 38%)
Goals call2 goals or fewer 55% · bookies 55% · ✗ 5 goals
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a high-scoring affair where Batman Petrolspor is the slight favourite. While the Sceptic notes the history of draws, the combined data points to BTPS's superior league standing and attacking output at home being the deciding factors.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Batman Petrolspor's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBatman Petrolspor's strong home attack is likely to dictate the tempo of this match.
BTPS averages 2.60 goals scored at home and 2.00 goals per game overall. They have played 82% of matches over 2.5 goals this season.
Batman Petrolspor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe disparity in league position and recent form suggests a clear advantage for the home side.
Batman Petrolspor sits 5th with 20 points, while Esenler Erokspor is 14th with 12 points. BTPS also holds a rest advantage of 6 days compared to 5 days for EE.
Batman Petrolspor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe high goal count prediction may be slightly inflated given the recent history of draws between the two sides.
The last 4 head-to-head matches resulted in 3 draws. Esenler Erokspor has only scored 0.91 goals per game overall.
Batman Petrolspor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Esenler Erokspor are slight favourites at 38%, with Batman Petrolspor on 32% and the draw on 30%. Batman Petrolspor are 5th and Esenler Erokspor 15th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Batman Petrolspor won one and Esenler Erokspor two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Batman Petrolspor win or draw
- 62%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 70%
- Esenler Erokspor win or draw
- 68%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 71%
- 3+ goals
- 45%
- 4+ goals
- 23%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Batman Petrolspor and 1.3 from Esenler Erokspor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (13%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (11%), 1–0 (10%), 0–0 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 24% | 30% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #921 | |
| 2 | 31% | 28% | 41% | Prices moved | #931 | |
| 3 | 32% | 30% | 38% | Prices moved | #1283 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Batman Petrolspor: last 6
DWLLLW · 12 scored, 15 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Kayserispor | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | vs İstanbulspor | 4–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Iğdır FK | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bursaspor | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Bodrum FK | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Fatih Karagümrük | 4–3 | W |
Last 5 at home: WLWWW
Esenler Erokspor: last 6
WDWLDL · 8 scored, 10 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Mardin 1969 | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | at Manisa F.K. | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | at İstanbulspor | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Fatih Karagümrük | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Bursaspor | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Sep | vs Kayserispor | 0–3 | L |
Last 5 away: DWDDD
Season stats
| Batman Petrolspor | Esenler Erokspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 1.73 | Goals conceded per game | 1.18 |
| 2.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 0.83 |
| 82% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| 73% | Both teams scored | 45% |
| 18% | Clean sheets | 27% |
| 9% | Failed to score | 45% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| 6 | Muğlaspor | 12 | +4 | 18 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 11 | +4 | 18 | LWWLL |
| … | |||||
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Batman Petrolspor won 1, Esenler Erokspor 0, 3 draws; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2023 | Esenler Erokspor | 2–2 | Batman Petrolspor | 2. Lig |
| 9 Oct 2022 | Batman Petrolspor | 1–1 | Esenler Erokspor | 2. Lig |
| 11 Feb 2021 | Batman Petrolspor | 0–0 | Esenler Erokspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| 4 Oct 2020 | Esenler Erokspor | 0–1 | Batman Petrolspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Batman Petrolspor 6Esenler Erokspor 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Batman Petrolspor 2 · Esenler Erokspor 2
- Referee
- Oguzhan Aksu
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
