Pendikspor vs Kayserispor prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Kayserispor to win: 54%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
The three readings converge on a strong away win for Kayserispor, driven by their superior season statistics and league position. While the market favours them heavily, the historical goal-scoring trends suggest the match could be high-scoring. The high probability of over 2.5 goals aligns with the strong attacking form of the visitors.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Kayserispor's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersKayserispor's superior defensive structure and high scoring rate should dictate the flow of this match.
Kayserispor averages 2.18 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.64. Pendikspor, conversely, averages 1.09 goals scored but concedes 1.91 per game.
Kayserispor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe significant gap in league standing and recent form suggests a decisive victory for the visitors.
Kayserispor sits 1st in the table with 26 points from 11 games. Pendikspor is 18th with 10 points. Kayserispor has shown strong recent form across their last 6 fixtures.
Kayserispor: strongly underrated
More goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongDespite the odds, the history of this fixture suggests a high-scoring affair is likely.
In the last 3 head-to-head encounters, goals averaged 2.7 per game. Kayserispor's away form has seen them score 10 goals while conceding only 1 in their last 5 away matches.
Kayserispor: strongly underrated
High Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Kayserispor are favourites at 54%, with Pendikspor on 21% and the draw on 25%. Pendikspor are 18th and Kayserispor 1st in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Pendikspor won none and Kayserispor four.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Pendikspor win or draw
- 46%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Kayserispor win or draw
- 79%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.0 goals from Pendikspor and 1.8 from Kayserispor. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14% | 19% | 67% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #920 | |
| 2 | 21% | 24% | 55% | Prices moved | #930 | |
| 3 | 23% | 26% | 52% | Prices moved | #1310 | |
| 4 | 21% | 25% | 54% | Prices moved | #1358 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 4 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Pendikspor: last 6
LLLDDW · 5 scored, 10 conceded
| 19 Oct | at Bursaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Vanspor FK | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Sivasspor | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Bodrum FK | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | at Boluspor | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Ümraniyespor | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWDD
Kayserispor: last 6
DWWWWW · 17 scored, 4 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Batman Petrolspor | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Oct | at Antalyaspor | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Manisa F.K. | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Mardin 1969 | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs İstanbulspor | 4–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | at Esenler Erokspor | 3–0 | W |
Last 5 away: WWWDW
Season stats
| Pendikspor | Kayserispor | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Goals scored per game | 2.18 |
| 1.91 | Goals conceded per game | 0.64 |
| 1.20 | Scored per game at home | 2.40 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 45% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 73% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 9% | Clean sheets | 64% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| … | |||||
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Pendikspor won 1, Kayserispor 2, 0 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2026 | Kayserispor | 1–2 | Pendikspor | Friendlies Clubs |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Pendikspor | 1–2 | Kayserispor | Süper Lig |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Kayserispor | 2–0 | Pendikspor | Süper Lig |
Match context
- Rest days
- Pendikspor 5Kayserispor 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Pendikspor 2 · Kayserispor 2
- Referee
- Burak Pakkan
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
