Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bandırmaspor to win: 42%, about 2 in 5
Goals call2 goals or fewer 51% · bookies 51% · ✗ 3 goals
The Verdict
All three land close to the published prices: a Bandırmaspor lean built on home scoring and Iğdır's away draws, tempered by tight defences and a 0-0 head-to-head. Overs sit near the coin-flip line at 49%, perhaps nudged down slightly given four straight low-scoring meetings.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo mean defences and quiet head-to-heads point to a low-scoring contest.
Their recent away run reads D D W W with 5 scored and 4 conceded, and Bandırmaspor's 1.83 home scoring rate meets the league's tightest visiting defence in this fixture set.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThird versus mid-table, and Iğdır's seven-day unbeaten run sets the stakes.
Iğdır sit 3rd on 23 points from 11 games, unbeaten in their last six, while Bandırmaspor are 10th on 14 points with five draws in 11 - points slipping rather than flowing.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPrices look fair, though 42% for the hosts feels a touch generous.
The 42/28/30 market roughly matches the season data, but the head-to-head argues for fewer goals: four straight meetings with 1.2 per game, the last a 0-0, and each side keeps clean sheets 36% and 45% of the time. With both teams scoring just 36-45% this term, the 49% over line looks slightly high.
Bandırmaspor: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Bandırmaspor are slight favourites at 42%, with Iğdır FK on 30% and the draw on 28%. Bandırmaspor are 10th and Iğdır FK 3rd in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Bandırmaspor won one and Iğdır FK three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Bandırmaspor win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Iğdır FK win or draw
- 58%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 74%
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- 4+ goals
- 27%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 53%
- No
- 47%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Bandırmaspor and 1.2 from Iğdır FK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42% | 28% | 30% | Stats preview | #660 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Bandırmaspor: last 6
LDWLDW · 11 scored, 5 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Bodrum FK | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Sivasspor | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | at Vanspor FK | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Ümraniyespor | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Sep | at Sarıyer | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Boluspor | 6–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: DLWLD
Iğdır FK: last 6
WDWDWW · 8 scored, 4 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Boluspor | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Oct | at Keçiörengücü | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Batman Petrolspor | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Muğlaspor | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Mardin 1969 | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sep | at İstanbulspor | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DDWWL
Season stats
| Bandırmaspor | Iğdır FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Goals scored per game | 1.36 |
| 0.73 | Goals conceded per game | 0.73 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 27% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| 45% | Both teams scored | 36% |
| 36% | Clean sheets | 45% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 27% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 12 | +17 | 27 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Iğdır FK | 12 | +8 | 26 | WWDWD |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 11 | +13 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 12 | +4 | 23 | WDWLL |
| 5 | Keçiörengücü | 11 | +10 | 20 | WDWDD |
| … | |||||
| 9 | Bodrum FK | 12 | +4 | 17 | WWWLD |
| 10 | Fatih Karagümrük | 12 | +1 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | -3 | 16 | LDLDW |
| 12 | Bandırmaspor | 12 | +7 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 13 | Ümraniyespor | 11 | +3 | 13 | WWDWL |
| 14 | Sivasspor | 12 | -3 | 13 | LDDWD |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Bandırmaspor won 1, Iğdır FK 0, 3 draws; 1.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2026 | Bandırmaspor | 0–0 | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Iğdır FK | 1–1 | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Bandırmaspor | 1–1 | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Iğdır FK | 0–1 | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
Match context
- Rest days
- Bandırmaspor 6Iğdır FK 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Bandırmaspor 2 · Iğdır FK 3
- Referee
- Yusuf Ziya Gunduz
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
