Boluspor vs Vanspor FK prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Vanspor FK to win: 54%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The published numbers look broadly consistent with the data.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Vanspor FK's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals despite blunt attacks
Boluspor concede 2.20 per game and keep no clean sheets; Vanspor FK concede 2.00 and also have none. Vanspor score 1.20 away per game, Boluspor just 0.40 at home, and both teams score in 53% of the published picture.
Vanspor FK: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides desperate, but Boluspor's run is bleakest
Boluspor sit 20th with 1 point from 10 games, winless, and have lost five straight at home. Vanspor FK are 18th on 7 points from 11. Equal rest at 5 days each, two games in 14. Pressure is heavy on both, but only the visitors show recent wins.
Vanspor FK: clearly underrated
Med The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongVanspor favouritism looks fair, but 58% may be a touch high
The 58% away price sits oddly against Vanspor's form: one win in six, 18th place, and a 2026 head-to-head defeat to Boluspor. Over 2.5 at 55% looks right given 4.0 goals per game in the last four meetings.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Vanspor FK are favourites at 54%, with Boluspor on 22% and the draw on 24%. Boluspor are 20th and Vanspor FK 18th in the Turkish 1. Lig. In their last five league games, Boluspor won none and Vanspor FK one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Boluspor win or draw
- 46%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Vanspor FK win or draw
- 78%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 1.1 goals from Boluspor and 1.8 from Vanspor FK. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19% | 23% | 58% | Stats preview | #577 | |
| 2 | 20% | 23% | 56% | Prices moved | #634 | |
| 3 | 22% | 24% | 54% | Prices moved | #648 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 3 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Boluspor: last 6
LLLDLL · 2 scored, 13 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Iğdır FK | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Antalyaspor | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Sarıyer | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Pendikspor | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Bandırmaspor | 0–6 | L |
| 1 Sep | vs Keçiörengücü | 0–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDLLL
Vanspor FK: last 6
LWLLDD · 5 scored, 11 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Ümraniyespor | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Oct | at Pendikspor | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Bandırmaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | at Antalyaspor | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Keçiörengücü | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | at Muğlaspor | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 away: WLDDL
Season stats
| Boluspor | Vanspor FK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.30 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 0.40 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 0.20 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 40% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| 30% | Both teams scored | 55% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 70% | Failed to score | 45% |
League matches only, 10 and 11 games.
Turkish 1. Lig table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 12 | -4 | 12 | LWDWL |
| 16 | Pendikspor | 12 | -9 | 11 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Manisa F.K. | 11 | -2 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Vanspor FK | 12 | -9 | 10 −2 | WLWLL |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 12 | -22 | 5 | LLLLW |
| 20 | Boluspor | 11 | -22 | 1 | LLLLD |
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Boluspor won 2, Vanspor FK 1, 1 draw; 4.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | Vanspor FK | 0–1 | Boluspor | 1. Lig |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Boluspor | 2–3 | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig |
| 19 Dec 2018 | Vanspor FK | 2–2 | Boluspor | Türkiye Kupası |
| 5 Dec 2018 | Boluspor | 5–1 | Vanspor FK | Türkiye Kupası |
Match context
- Rest days
- Boluspor 5Vanspor FK 5
- Matches in the last 14 days: Boluspor 2 · Vanspor FK 2
- Referee
- Baydar
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
