Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Tottenham to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The analysis points towards a Tottenham victory, driven by their strong home form and late attacking prowess. While the mid-table nature of both clubs suggests a possible draw, the combined data strongly favors the home side to secure three points.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTottenham's late attacking threat is the key factor in this fixture.
Spurs have scored 4 goals in the 76-90 period this season. Crystal Palace concedes 2.38 goals per game in this competition.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBoth sides are fighting for position, but the pressure is mounting for both teams.
Tottenham is 14th with 9 points from 8 games. Crystal Palace sits in 17th with 7 points from 8 games.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPalace's poor away form suggests they will struggle against a strong home side.
Palace has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away fixtures. Spurs have scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Tottenham Hotspur are clear favourites at 63%, with Crystal Palace on 17% and the draw on 20%. Tottenham Hotspur are 14th and Crystal Palace 17th in the Premier League. In their last five league games, Tottenham Hotspur won two and Crystal Palace one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Tottenham Hotspur win or draw
- 83%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Crystal Palace win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 61%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 2.1 goals from Tottenham Hotspur and 1.0 from Crystal Palace. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52% | 24% | 25% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1750 | |
| 2 | 63% | 20% | 17% | Prices moved | #2089 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Tottenham Hotspur: last 6
WWDLLD · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Chelsea | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | vs Coventry | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Manchester United | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Aston Villa | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | at Liverpool League Cup | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Everton | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 at home: WLDLW
Crystal Palace: last 6
LDLLWD · 7 scored, 13 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Newcastle | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | at Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | at Brighton | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Oct | at Lyon UEFA Europa League | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Leeds | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: DLLDW
Season stats
| Tottenham Hotspur | Crystal Palace | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.12 |
| 1.25 | Goals conceded per game | 2.38 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.75 | Scored per game away | 0.75 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 38% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 12% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 50% |
| 1.62 | Yellow cards per game | 1.50 |
League matches only, 8 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Tottenham Hotspur | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | -9 | 6 | LLWWL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 | DLLLL |
Match context
- Stadium
- Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
- 62,850 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Tottenham Hotspur 7Crystal Palace 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Tottenham Hotspur 2 · Crystal Palace 3
- Coaches
- R. De Zerbi
- Tottenham Hotspur, since Sep 2025
- P. Sage
- Crystal Palace, since Jul 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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