Hull City vs Ipswich Town prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Hull 36%)
Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published numbers: home 36, draw 28, away 36, with over 2.5 close to 52. The Coach sees two evenly matched attack profiles; the Dressing Room sees two sides on 10 points with Hull harder to beat; the Sceptic finds the market broadly fair with Hull's home record tilting them slightly.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersBoth sides average 1.4 expected goals and concede generously, so an open game with chances at both ends.
Both-teams-score at 56% stacks up.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo sides on 10 points from 8 games, with Hull's longer unbeaten-ish home feel shaping a tense game.
Hull sit 10th and Ipswich 12th, both on 10 points from 8 games, with no gap pressure to the top-four or bottom zones. Hull's home form reads D D D W and their last six include four draws. Both sides had a full week's rest after one game in 14 days.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongPublished numbers look fair; Hull's home record argues for nudging the home side up slightly.
Away form reads L L W L with 11 conceded. Away odds at 36% look a touch generous; I move those points to Hull.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Hull City are slight favourites at 36%, with Ipswich Town on 36% and the draw on 28%. Hull City are 10th and Ipswich Town 12th in the Premier League. In their last five league games, Hull City won none and Ipswich Town two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Hull City win or draw
- 64%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 72%
- Ipswich Town win or draw
- 64%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 76%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.4 goals from Hull City and 1.4 from Ipswich Town. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36% | 28% | 36% | Stats preview | #1767 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Hull City: last 6
DLDLDL · 6 scored, 9 conceded
| 25 Oct | vs Brentford | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Fulham | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Everton | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Newcastle | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Chelsea | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | at Sunderland League Cup | 0–1 | L |
Last 4 at home: DDDW
Ipswich Town: last 6
DLWLLW · 10 scored, 12 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Manchester City | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Fulham | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at Everton | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Sep | vs Arsenal League Cup | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Crystal Palace | 3–2 | W |
Last 4 away: LLWL
Season stats
| Hull City | Ipswich Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | Goals scored per game | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 1.25 | Scored per game at home | 1.25 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.75 |
| 38% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 75% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 25% | Failed to score | 25% |
| 2.62 | Yellow cards per game | 1.88 |
League matches only, 8 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Hull City | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
Premier League table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | +3 | 11 | DDLDW |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | -2 | 11 | WLLWL |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 | WWDWL |
| 10 | Hull City | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 12 | Ipswich Town | 8 | -4 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 | WWLLD |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | -2 | 9 | WWDLD |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 | WWLDD |
Match context
- Stadium
- The MKM Stadium, Hull
- 25,504 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Hull City 6Ipswich Town 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Hull City 1 · Ipswich Town 1
- Coaches
- S. Jakirović
- Hull City, since Jul 2025
- G. O'Neil
- Ipswich Town, since Aug 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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