Walsall vs Salford City prediction
Full analysisTeam news, injuries and lineups read by our AI scouts, updated when the official lineups are out. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast
Who wins?
Salford to win: 44%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56% · ✓ 6 goals
The Verdict
Our numbers shifted slightly towards a draw by 1 point. The Dressing Room's view was not followed, as the final probability for the home side remained unchanged.
Key factors
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Walsall's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Walsall favourites.
The Coach
tactics and lineupsFull-strength Salford visit a Walsall side missing Ahui, but home solidity keeps this tight.
Walsall are without Elicha Ahui (suspended, red card vs Oldham); Jed Ward starts in goal after eight clean sheets in 13 games. Salford name an unchanged-looking strong XI with no reported absences. Grant's rotation means Walsall's XI is never settled.
The Dressing Room
mood and pressureUnbeaten Walsall's home solidity meets leaders Salford's form in a tight, low-scoring test.
Salford arrive as League Two leaders and won four of their last five per recent results. Walsall call this their biggest test of the unbeaten start.
Walsall: slightly overrated
Fewer goalsLow The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWalsall's clean-sheet streak makes the home price look longer than it should be.
The market makes Salford 44% favourites, but the goals model sees this as a 1.33-0.89 game with just 38% over 2.5 - well below the 54% the market implies.
Walsall: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow✗ Wrong AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips. Who reads the game best
In short
Salford City, the League Two leaders, face an unbeaten Walsall side at home. Walsall's strong defensive record and home form are key factors, but Salford's position at the top of the table presents a significant challenge.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Walsall win or draw
- 56%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- Salford City win or draw
- 70%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- 4+ goals
- 34%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.3 goals from Walsall and 1.6 from Salford City. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%), 2–1 (7%), 0–2 (7%).
How we got to these numbers
| Home | Draw | Away | 3+ goals | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmakers | 30% | 25% | 44% | 56% |
| Goals model | 46% | 30% | 24% | 38% |
| AI analysts | 40% | 30% | 30% | 42% |
| Our forecast | 30% | 26% | 44% | 56% |
Verdict: Our final probability for the draw increased by one point compared to the market. The Dressing Room's view was not followed, as the final probability for the home side remained unchanged.
Our forecast starts from the bookmakers' prices and moves only by what the news justifies, capped at 8 percentage points per outcome. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Walsall: last 6
WDWDDL · 10 scored, 11 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Oldham | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Swindon Town | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Oct | vs Fulham U21 EFL Trophy | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | at Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Stevenage EFL Trophy | 1–6 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWLWD
Salford City: last 6
WWWDWW · 12 scored, 4 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Bristol Rovers | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | vs Crawley Town | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Cheltenham | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | at Accrington ST EFL Trophy | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Fleetwood Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Oldham | 4–1 | W |
Last 5 away: WWDWD
Season stats
| Walsall | Salford City | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Goals scored per game | 1.58 |
| 0.64 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 1.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.17 |
| 1.33 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 36% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 45% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 55% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 17% |
| 2.18 | Yellow cards per game | 1.67 |
League matches only, 11 and 12 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Walsall | Salford City |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League Two table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | +8 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | +0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | +0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 | York | 12 | +8 | 20 | WDDDW |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Walsall won 4, Salford City 1, 1 draw; 2.3 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | Salford City | 1–0 | Walsall | League Two |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Walsall | 1–0 | Salford City | League Two |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Walsall | 2–2 | Salford City | League Two |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Salford City | 0–2 | Walsall | League Two |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Walsall | 2–1 | Salford City | League Two |
| 9 Sep 2023 | Salford City | 1–2 | Walsall | League Two |
Team news: lineups Confirmed
Goalkeeper
- 1J. Ward
Defenders
- 25D. Skura
- 4J. Connolly
- 26R. Leak
- 3M. Hancock
Midfielders
- 15Isaac Moore
- 6S. Sprangler
- 17Courtney Clarke
- 7Taione Richard Evumena Sodje
- 11R. Smith
Forward
- 19A. Pressley
Substitutes (7)
- 37A. Adomah
- 5H. Burke
- 8C. Crew
- 9A. Dallas
- 29J. Furlong
- 10L. Simper
- 31Tom Wooster
Goalkeeper
- 1W. Norris
Defenders
- 4W. Aimson
- 17D. Scarr
- 24T. Allen
Midfielders
- 43L. Molyneux
- 16E. Bonds
- 44B. Sarpong-Wiredu
- 14A. Odoh
- 8J. Grant
- 10K. N’Mai
Forward
- 9M. Langstaff
Substitutes (7)
- 26L. Burge
- 18M. Butcher
- 21K. Cesay
- 29L. Garbutt
- 22A. Oluwo
- 23D. Udoh
- 2N. Asiimwe
Official team sheets, updated UK time (GMT).
Team news: injuries and suspensions
| Player | Team | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elicha Ahui | Walsall | Suspended | [1] |
Key facts
- Salford City currently leads the League Two table with 25 points from 12 matches.[1]
- Walsall sits in sixth place with 19 points after 11 games.[1]
- Walsall is the only team in the EFL that has remained unbeaten after 11 fixtures.[1]
- Walsall's home record this season consists of three wins, two draws, and no losses.[1]
- Walsall has maintained eight clean sheets across 13 games this season.[1]
- Salford City's away record includes three wins, one draw, and two losses.[1]
Sources
- bbc.co.uk – Save after save, now an assist - Ward wowing Walsall (2026-10-21)
Match context
- Stadium
- Poundland Bescot Stadium, Walsall, West Midlands
- 11,300 seats · grass
- Travel for Salford City
- 102 km
- Rest days
- Walsall 6Salford City 6
- Matches in the last 14 days: Walsall 3 · Salford City 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 15°C · wind 23 km/h
- Dry
- Coaches
- Lee Grant
- Walsall, since Aug 2026
- P. Cklamovski
- Salford City, since Aug 2026
- Goals in this league
- League Two average: 2.58 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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