Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wycombe to win: 63%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 55% · bookies 55%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three lean towards a home win, with the Coach and Dressing Room close to the published 63% and the Sceptic trimming it to around 58% on Burton's decent away record. On goals, the Coach sees a nudge over the line while the others sit near the published 55%, so a competitive home win with goals is the collective reading.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Burton Albion's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Burton Albion favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersWycombe's home scoring meets Burton's leaky late defence - goals look likely.
Wycombe score 1.67 per game at home and have scored in every league match this season, failing to score 0% of the time. Burton concede 7 of their goals in the final 15 minutes and keep clean sheets just 15% of the time. Both teams score in 83% of Wycombe's games.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureMid-table pair with little pressure, but Wycombe's home form gives them the edge.
Wycombe sit 14th on 15 points from 12 games, Burton 11th on 17 from 13 - both well clear of the Relegation places and far from the Play-offs. Wycombe's home run reads W L W D W with 11 scored. Both have had 7 days' rest, so fatigue is no factor.
Wycombe: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe 63% on Wycombe looks a touch generous given Burton's away resilience.
Burton have lost just once in five away games (D L D W L) and concede only 1.46 per game overall, yet are priced at 16%. Wycombe's 2-2 draws at Cambridge and AFC Wimbledon show vulnerability. The 55% over line looks fair given Burton's 69% over-2.5 rate.
Burton: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Wycombe Wanderers are clear favourites at 63%, with Burton Albion on 16% and the draw on 21%. Wycombe Wanderers are 14th and Burton Albion 11th in the League One. In their last five league games, Wycombe Wanderers won one and Burton Albion one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Wycombe Wanderers win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 79%
- Burton Albion win or draw
- 37%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Wycombe Wanderers and 0.9 from Burton Albion. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 3–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39% | 23% | 38% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1845 | |
| 2 | 63% | 21% | 16% | Prices moved | #2115 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Wycombe Wanderers: last 6
DDWLWD · 12 scored, 10 conceded
| 24 Oct | at AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | at Cambridge United | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Notts County | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Luton | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Bristol Rovers EFL Trophy | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Reading | 2–2 | D |
Last 5 at home: WLWDW
Burton Albion: last 6
WDDLDL · 5 scored, 7 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Leyton Orient | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | vs Bradford | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | at Peterborough | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Doncaster | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Grimsby EFL Trophy | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Oct | vs Huddersfield | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 away: DLDWL
Season stats
| Wycombe Wanderers | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.58 | Goals scored per game | 1.38 |
| 1.92 | Goals conceded per game | 1.46 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.71 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 58% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 69% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 15% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 23% |
| 1.25 | Yellow cards per game | 1.77 |
League matches only, 12 and 13 games.
When goals come
| Minutes | Wycombe Wanderers | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sheffield Wednesday | 11 | +8 | 18 | LLWDD |
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | +4 | 18 | WWDWD |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | +2 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | -1 | 17 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | +4 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | +0 | 15 | LWWLD |
| 14 | Wycombe Wanderers | 12 | -4 | 15 | DDWLD |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | +2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | -11 | 13 | DLLLD |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | -1 | 12 | WLLWW |
Match context
- Stadium
- Adams Park, High Wycombe, Buckinghamshire
- 10,000 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Wycombe Wanderers 7Burton Albion 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Wycombe Wanderers 2 · Burton Albion 2
- Coaches
- T. Hounsell
- Wycombe Wanderers, since Sep 2026
- G. Bowyer
- Burton Albion, since Dec 2024
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
