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‹ League One · Matchday 14
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Preview
Blackpool 20thLWLLL

Sheffield Wednesday vs Blackpool prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Sheffield Wednesday to win: 59%, about 3 in 5

Sheffield Wednesday59%Bookies 59
Draw22%Bookies 22
Blackpool19%Bookies 19

Goals call3+ goals 61% · bookies 61%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

Version 2 · updated Ledger record ↗

In short

Sheffield Wednesday are favourites at 59%, with Blackpool on 19% and the draw on 22%. Sheffield Wednesday are 8th and Blackpool 20th in the League One. In their last five league games, Sheffield Wednesday won one and Blackpool one.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Sheffield Wednesday win or draw
81%
Either team wins (no draw)
78%
Blackpool win or draw
41%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
61%
4+ goals
38%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
58%
No
42%

We expect about 2.1 goals from Sheffield Wednesday and 1.1 from Blackpool. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 3–1 (7%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 59%20%21%Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices)#1790
2 59%22%19%Prices moved#2177

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Sheffield Wednesday: last 6

LLWDWW · 11 scored, 7 conceded

24 Octat Doncaster0–2L
20 Octat Notts County0–2L
17 Octvs AFC Wimbledon5–0W
10 Octat Huddersfield2–2D
6 Octvs Sunderland U21 EFL Trophy2–0W
22 Sepat Salford City EFL Trophy2–1W

Last 5 at home: WWDDW

Blackpool: last 6

LWLLDL · 7 scored, 12 conceded

24 Octvs Mansfield Town1–4L
20 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons2–0W
17 Octat Leyton Orient0–2L
10 Octat Cambridge United0–1L
6 Octvs Crewe EFL Trophy2–2D
22 Sepat Wigan EFL Trophy2–3L

Last 5 away: LLLLL

Season stats

Sheffield WednesdayBlackpool
1.82Goals scored per game1.45
1.09Goals conceded per game1.82
2.40Scored per game at home2.00
1.33Scored per game away0.80
55%Matches over 2.5 goals64%
45%Both teams scored64%
27%Clean sheets18%
45%Failed to score18%
2.09Yellow cards per game1.82

League matches only, 11 games each.

When goals come

Goals scored this season by 15-minute period.
MinutesSheffield WednesdayBlackpool
0–15 min 21
16–30 min 14
31–45 min 63
46–60 min 31
61–75 min 25
76–90 min 53

League One table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
5Reading12+1221WWLWD
6Cambridge United12+320LDWWD
7Oxford United10+819DWDWD
8Sheffield Wednesday11+818LLWDD
9Mansfield Town11+418WWDWD
10Luton11+217WWLWL
11Burton Albion13-117WDDLL
…
17Doncaster11-112WLLWW
18Milton Keynes Dons11-612WLWLD
19Notts County11-311DWLLL
20Blackpool11-411LWLLL
21Peterborough12-1010DLDWL
22Bromley11-169DLLLW
23Barnsley11-108LLLLD

Full League One table · Predicted final table

Match context

Stadium
Hillsborough, Sheffield
39,814 seats · grass
Rest days
Sheffield Wednesday 8Blackpool 8
Matches in the last 14 days: Sheffield Wednesday 2 · Blackpool 2
Coaches
H. Pedersen
Sheffield Wednesday, since Jul 2025
I. Evatt
Blackpool, since Aug 2026

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

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