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‹ League One · Matchday 14
Leyton Orient 15thLLWDL
UK time (GMT)
Preview
Cambridge United 6thLDWWD

Leyton Orient vs Cambridge United prediction

Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works

KickoffHour forecast · data model

Who wins?

Wide open: no clear favourite (Cambridge 38%)

Leyton Orient35%Bookies 35
Draw27%Bookies 27
Cambridge38%Bookies 38

Goals call3+ goals 52% · bookies 52%

Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.

The Verdict

The goal view is consistent too: the coach's both-teams-score pattern and Cambridge's 67% over-2.5 rate nudge the over just above the published 52%, but nobody strays far from the numbers.

Version 1 · updated Ledger record ↗

What our AI analysts say

All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.

The Coach

styles in the numbers

Cambridge's attack gives them the edge in a game where both sides should score.

Cambridge score 1.67 per game and have both teams scored in 92% of matches, while Orient keep clean sheets in 42% but score just 1.17 at home. Cambridge also fare well late, scoring 7 in the final 15 minutes, so goals after the break look likely.

Cambridge UnitedCambridge: slightly overrated More goalsLow

The Dressing Room

the table and pressure

Play-off-chasing Cambridge arrive in better shape than an inconsistent Orient.

Cambridge sit 6th on 20 points from 12 games, inside the play-off places, while Orient are 15th on 14. Cambridge are unbeaten in five away games, and with equal rest of 6 days, the visitors' better run should tell.

Cambridge UnitedCambridge: slightly overrated Low

The Sceptic

where the market may be wrong

The market leans Orient too heavily given home form and away form lines.

Cambridge's away record is 3 wins and 2 draws with 11 goals scored, and Orient have lost 3 of their last 5 at home, conceding 7.

Leyton OrientLeyton Orient: slightly overrated Low

Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.

In short

Cambridge United are slight favourites at 38%, with Leyton Orient on 35% and the draw on 27%. Leyton Orient are 15th and Cambridge United 6th in the League One. In their last five league games, Leyton Orient won one and Cambridge United two.

More markets

Win or draw (double chance)

Leyton Orient win or draw
62%
Either team wins (no draw)
73%
Cambridge United win or draw
65%

Goals in the match (over/under)

2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
52%
4+ goals
30%

Both teams score (BTTS)

Yes
56%
No
44%

We expect about 1.3 goals from Leyton Orient and 1.4 from Cambridge United. (expected goals)

Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

How these numbers are made

A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.

Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology

Prediction history

#PublishedHomeDrawAwayReasonRecord
1 35%27%38%Stats preview#1823

This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).

Form

All competitions, newest first.

Leyton Orient: last 6

LLWDLW · 4 scored, 5 conceded

24 Octat Burton Albion1–2L
21 Octat Reading0–1L
17 Octvs Blackpool2–0W
10 Octat Bradford0–0D
3 Octvs Plymouth0–2L
19 Sepvs Stevenage1–0W

Last 5 at home: WLWLL

Cambridge United: last 6

LDWWWD · 10 scored, 8 conceded

24 Octvs Plymouth2–3L
20 Octvs Wycombe2–2D
17 Octat Barnsley2–1W
10 Octvs Blackpool1–0W
6 Octvs Northampton EFL Trophy2–1W
26 Sepvs AFC Wimbledon1–1D

Last 5 away: WWDDW

Season stats

Leyton OrientCambridge United
1.33Goals scored per game1.67
1.17Goals conceded per game1.42
1.17Scored per game at home1.71
1.50Scored per game away1.60
42%Matches over 2.5 goals67%
42%Both teams scored92%
42%Clean sheets8%
25%Failed to score0%
1.83Yellow cards per game1.92

League matches only, 12 games each.

When goals come

Goals scored this season by 15-minute period.
MinutesLeyton OrientCambridge United
0–15 min 11
16–30 min 10
31–45 min 43
46–60 min 46
61–75 min 13
76–90 min 47

League One table

#TeamPldGoal diff.PointsLeague form
3Bradford12+522DDWDD
4Plymouth13+222WLLWW
5Reading12+1221WWLWD
6Cambridge United12+320LDWWD
7Oxford United10+819DWDWD
8Sheffield Wednesday11+818LLWDD
9Mansfield Town11+418WWDWD
…
12Stevenage11+415LWLWL
13Leicester11+015LWWLD
14Wycombe12-415DDWLD
15Leyton Orient12+214LLWDL
16AFC Wimbledon12-1113DLLLD
17Doncaster11-112WLLWW
18Milton Keynes Dons11-612WLWLD

Full League One table · Predicted final table

Match context

Stadium
Brisbane Road, London
9,271 seats · grass
Rest days
Leyton Orient 6Cambridge United 6
Matches in the last 14 days: Leyton Orient 3 · Cambridge United 3
Coaches
R. Wellens
Leyton Orient, since Mar 2022
N. Harris
Cambridge United, since Feb 2025

Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)

This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →

18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling

Who do you think wins?

Fans' picks appear after 5 votes · voting closes at kick-off

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