Wigan Athletic vs Bromley prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wigan to win: 51%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three see a scrappy but open game between two struggling sides. The Coach and Sceptic lean towards goals from poor defences, while the Dressing Room stresses the stakes of a bottom-two meeting. Wigan remain narrow favourites, but none of the three is strongly convinced.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think Bromley's chances are better than the bookmakers say. It does not make Bromley favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals despite blunt attacks
Wigan concede 1.55 per game and Bromley 2.36, yet both attacks are poor: Wigan fail to score in 55% of matches, Bromley in 36%. Bromley concede most before the break (6 in 31-45), Wigan late (5 in 76-90). Both teams score in 55% of Bromley games.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureBottom-two clash with both sides desperate for points
Wigan sit 24th on 7 points, Bromley 22nd on 9, both inside the Relegation places (21-24). Wigan have lost 8 of 11; Bromley have taken 3 points from their last 5 away games. Both had 7 days' rest, so fatigue is equal.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongMarket's home lean looks generous given both sides' form
Wigan at 51% despite one win in six and 8 goals all season seems high; Bromley's away run of L L L D L argues against them too. The 54% over line fits Bromley's 55% over rate but Wigan's 45% tempers it.
Bromley: slightly underrated
Fewer goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Wigan Athletic are favourites at 51%, with Bromley on 24% and the draw on 25%. Wigan Athletic are 24th and Bromley 22nd in the League One. In their last five league games, Wigan Athletic won one and Bromley one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Wigan Athletic win or draw
- 76%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Bromley win or draw
- 49%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 78%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 32%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Wigan Athletic and 1.1 from Bromley. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 0–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49% | 25% | 26% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #1843 | |
| 2 | 51% | 25% | 24% | Prices moved | #2114 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Wigan Athletic: last 6
LLWLWL · 6 scored, 8 conceded
| 24 Oct | at Huddersfield | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | at Oxford United | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Reading | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Stevenage | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Blackpool EFL Trophy | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Wycombe | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWLLW
Bromley: last 6
DLLLLL · 2 scored, 13 conceded
| 24 Oct | vs Peterborough | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | vs Leicester | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Stockport County | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | at Mansfield Town | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Oct | at Crawley Town EFL Trophy | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Brentford U21 EFL Trophy | 0–1 | L |
Last 5 away: LLLDL
Season stats
| Wigan Athletic | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Goals scored per game | 0.91 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 2.36 |
| 0.80 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 45% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 36% | Both teams scored | 55% |
| 18% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 55% | Failed to score | 36% |
| 2.91 | Yellow cards per game | 1.91 |
League matches only, 11 games each.
When goals come
| Minutes | Wigan Athletic | Bromley |
|---|---|---|
| 0–15 min | ||
| 16–30 min | ||
| 31–45 min | ||
| 46–60 min | ||
| 61–75 min | ||
| 76–90 min |
League One table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | -3 | 11 | DWLLL |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | -4 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | -10 | 10 | DLDWL |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | -16 | 9 | DLLLW |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic | 11 | -9 | 7 | LLWLL |
Match context
- Stadium
- DW Stadium, Wigan
- 25,138 seats · grass
- Rest days
- Wigan Athletic 7Bromley 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Wigan Athletic 2 · Bromley 2
- Coaches
- G. Caldwell
- Wigan Athletic, since Aug 2026
- Byron Webster
- Bromley, since Oct 2026
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
