Isenmulang Kalteng vs PSIM Yogyakarta prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Wide open: no clear favourite (Isenmulang Kalteng 37%)
Goals call3+ goals 56% · bookies 56% · ✗ 0 goals
The Verdict
The Coach and Sceptic both question the 44% over-2.5 figure given low scoring rates and a low-scoring head-to-head record, so goals look less likely than the model suggests.
What our AI analysts say
All three think Isenmulang Kalteng's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences, but neither scores enough for goals to flow
Isenmulang have kept a clean sheet in 17% of games while PSIM have none. Both-teams-score sits at 33% and 50%, so the 47% published looks fair.
Isenmulang Kalteng: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo struggling sides, but home comfort and a longer gap give Isenmulang the edge
Isenmulang sit 16th with 2 points from 6, PSIM 17th with 1 - both deep in trouble. PSIM have lost five straight and all three away games, conceding 4 in those. Isenmulang drew last time out and won before that, with 4 days' rest to PSIM's 3.
Isenmulang Kalteng: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome lean looks right, but the goal line may be a touch generous
But H2H produced just 1.5 goals per game, including a 0-0, and Isenmulang's last two home games saw only 3 goals total. Over 2.5 at 44% feels slightly high; I'd shade it lower.
Isenmulang Kalteng: strongly underrated
Fewer goalsHigh Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Isenmulang Kalteng are slight favourites at 37%, with PSIM Yogyakarta on 35% and the draw on 28%. Isenmulang Kalteng are 16th and PSIM Yogyakarta 17th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Isenmulang Kalteng won one and PSIM Yogyakarta none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Isenmulang Kalteng win or draw
- 65%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 73%
- PSIM Yogyakarta win or draw
- 63%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 79%
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- 4+ goals
- 33%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 59%
- No
- 41%
We expect about 1.5 goals from Isenmulang Kalteng and 1.4 from PSIM Yogyakarta. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 1–0 (8%), 0–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% | 26% | 24% | Stats preview (goals model, no bookmaker prices) | #654 | |
| 2 | 37% | 27% | 35% | Prices moved | #743 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Isenmulang Kalteng: last 6
DWLLLL · 3 scored, 12 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Java United | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | at Persijap | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Persebaya Surabaya | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Bhayangkara FC | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | at Bali United | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Arema FC | 0–4 | L |
Last 2 at home: DL
PSIM Yogyakarta: last 6
LLLLLD · 3 scored, 11 conceded
| 20 Oct | at Bhayangkara FC | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Persija | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Persepam Madura Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Persebaya Surabaya | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Persita | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 away: LLL
Season stats
| Isenmulang Kalteng | PSIM Yogyakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.50 | Goals scored per game | 0.50 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per game | 1.83 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 0.33 |
| 33% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| 33% | Both teams scored | 50% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 50% | Failed to score | 50% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pusamania Borneo | 5 | -2 | 6 | LWLWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | -2 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Isenmulang Kalteng won 0, PSIM Yogyakarta 1, 1 draw; 1.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2024 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 0–0 | PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 2 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 3–0 | Isenmulang Kalteng | Liga 2 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Isenmulang Kalteng 4PSIM Yogyakarta 3
- Matches in the last 14 days: Isenmulang Kalteng 2 · PSIM Yogyakarta 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
