Persija vs Arema FC prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Persija to win: 72%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 63% · bookies 63% · ✓ 6 goals
In short
Persija are clear favourites at 72%, with Arema FC on 11% and the draw on 17%. Persija are 3rd and Arema FC 10th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Persija won four and Arema FC one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Persija win or draw
- 89%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 83%
- Arema FC win or draw
- 27%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 83%
- 3+ goals
- 63%
- 4+ goals
- 41%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 51%
- No
- 49%
We expect about 2.4 goals from Persija and 0.8 from Arema FC. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73% | 17% | 11% | Stats preview | #325 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Persija: last 5
LWWWW · 10 scored, 4 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Persita | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at PSIM Yogyakarta | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Java United | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Persib Bandung | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 1–0 | W |
Last 2 at home: WW
Arema FC: last 5
LDDDW · 11 scored, 9 conceded
| 17 Oct | at Garudayaksa | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Bhayangkara FC | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Persik Kediri | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | at PSM Makassar | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 4–0 | W |
Last 2 away: LD
Season stats
| Persija | Arema FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.20 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per game | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 2.33 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| 40% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 60% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| … | |||||
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | +1 | 9 | LDWDW |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | -3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 12 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Persija won 2, Arema FC 1, 0 draws; 3.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | Persija | 3–1 | Arema FC | Piala Presiden |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Persija | 0–2 | Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Arema FC | 1–2 | Persija | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Persija 4Arema FC 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Persija 2 · Arema FC 2
- Referee
- T. Alkatiri
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
