Persepam Madura Utd vs Persib Bandung prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Persib Bandung to win: 56%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 51% · bookies 51% · ✗ 1 goals
In short
Persib Bandung are favourites at 56%, with Persepam Madura Utd on 19% and the draw on 25%. Persepam Madura Utd are 6th and Persib Bandung 7th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Persepam Madura Utd won three and Persib Bandung three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Persepam Madura Utd win or draw
- 44%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Persib Bandung win or draw
- 81%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 75%
- 3+ goals
- 51%
- 4+ goals
- 29%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 50%
- No
- 50%
We expect about 0.9 goals from Persepam Madura Utd and 1.8 from Persib Bandung. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 0–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 8. Next: 1–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Persepam Madura Utd: last 5
DLWWW · 10 scored, 7 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Bhayangkara FC | 3–3 | D |
| 9 Oct | at Persik Kediri | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs PSIM Yogyakarta | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at PSS Sleman | 3–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Persijap | 2–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: DWW
Persib Bandung: last 5
WDWLW · 9 scored, 6 conceded
| 18 Oct | vs Persik Kediri | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Dewa United | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | at Persijap | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | at Persija | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs PSM Makassar | 3–1 | W |
Last 2 away: WL
Season stats
| Persepam Madura Utd | Persib Bandung | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per game | 1.20 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.50 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 80% |
| 60% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 20% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Persepam Madura Utd won 0, Persib Bandung 4, 2 draws; 3.5 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb 2026 | Persib Bandung | 5–0 | Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Persepam Madura Utd | 1–4 | Persib Bandung | Liga 1 |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Persib Bandung | 0–0 | Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd | 2–2 | Persib Bandung | Liga 1 |
| 31 May 2024 | Persepam Madura Utd | 1–3 | Persib Bandung | Liga 1 |
| 26 May 2024 | Persib Bandung | 3–0 | Persepam Madura Utd | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Persepam Madura Utd 6Persib Bandung 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Persepam Madura Utd 2 · Persib Bandung 2
- Referee
- D. Hidayat
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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