Bhayangkara FC vs PSIM Yogyakarta prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bhayangkara to win: 58%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✗ 1 goals
In short
Bhayangkara FC are favourites at 58%, with PSIM Yogyakarta on 16% and the draw on 26%. Bhayangkara FC are 8th and PSIM Yogyakarta 17th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Bhayangkara FC won one and PSIM Yogyakarta none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Bhayangkara FC win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 74%
- PSIM Yogyakarta win or draw
- 42%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 55%
- No
- 45%
We expect about 2.0 goals from Bhayangkara FC and 1.0 from PSIM Yogyakarta. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58% | 26% | 16% | Stats preview | #252 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Bhayangkara FC: last 5
DDWDD · 10 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Persepam Madura Utd | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | at Arema FC | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at Dewa United | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Persebaya Surabaya | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 at home: WD
PSIM Yogyakarta: last 5
LLLLD · 3 scored, 10 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs PSM Makassar | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Persija | 0–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Persepam Madura Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | at Persebaya Surabaya | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Persita | 1–1 | D |
Last 2 away: LL
Season stats
| Bhayangkara FC | PSIM Yogyakarta | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 0.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per game | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game at home | 0.67 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game away | 0.50 |
| 60% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 60% |
| 20% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 40% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | +1 | 9 | LDWDW |
| … | |||||
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | -2 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Bhayangkara FC won 2, PSIM Yogyakarta 3, 0 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | Bhayangkara FC | 2–1 | PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 1 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1–0 | Bhayangkara FC | Liga 1 |
| 26 Feb 2025 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 2–1 | Bhayangkara FC | Liga 2 |
| 19 Dec 2024 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 1–2 | Bhayangkara FC | Liga 2 |
| 19 Sep 2024 | Bhayangkara FC | 0–1 | PSIM Yogyakarta | Liga 2 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Bhayangkara FC 4PSIM Yogyakarta 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Bhayangkara FC 2 · PSIM Yogyakarta 2
- Referee
- A. Setiawan
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
