Bali United vs Garudayaksa prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bali to win: 65%, about 2 in 3
Goals call3+ goals 65% · bookies 65% · ✓ 5 goals
In short
Bali United are clear favourites at 65%, with Garudayaksa on 16% and the draw on 19%. Bali United are 7th and Garudayaksa 13th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Bali United won three and Garudayaksa one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Bali United win or draw
- 84%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 81%
- Garudayaksa win or draw
- 35%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 85%
- 3+ goals
- 65%
- 4+ goals
- 43%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 2.3 goals from Bali United and 1.0 from Garudayaksa. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. No team news is read for this match, so the numbers are not adjusted. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65% | 19% | 16% | Stats preview | #322 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Bali United: last 5
LWLWW · 14 scored, 7 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Java United | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Persijap | 6–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Garudayaksa: last 5
WLDLD · 6 scored, 7 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Arema FC | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | at Persita | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | at Persebaya Surabaya | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | vs Persik Kediri | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | at Java United | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 away: LDD
Season stats
| Bali United | Garudayaksa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | Goals scored per game | 1.20 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per game | 1.40 |
| 4.00 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 80% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| 80% | Both teams scored | 80% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 20% |
League matches only, 5 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| … | |||||
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | -3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 12 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
| 13 | Pusamania Borneo | 5 | -2 | 6 | LWLWL |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 7 | -7 | 5 | LLWLD |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | -2 | 4 | LDWLL |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | -9 | 3 −2 | DDWLL |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
Match context
- Rest days
- Bali United 4Garudayaksa 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Bali United 2 · Garudayaksa 2
- Referee
- Y. Yamamoto
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
