Persita vs Bali United prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Bali to win: 47%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 54% · bookies 54% · ✗ 2 goals
The Verdict
On the result, Bali's 46% is nudged down by their two away defeats and short rest, leaving a modest lift for Persita and the draw, but Bali remain the likeliest winner.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Persita's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Persita favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo high-scoring teams point to another open, goal-heavy contest.
Persita score 2.20 a game but concede 1.60 with 0% clean sheets, so their games are open. Bali average 3.17 scored and 1.17 conceded, though away they drop to 1.00 scored per game.
Persita: slightly underrated
More goalsLow The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo in-form sides, but Bali's shorter rest may shape the contest.
Bali sit 4th on 12 points from 6, Persita 5th on 11 from 5, so this is tight. Persita are unbeaten in 5 (W3 D2 L0) and won all 3 home games. But Bali, W4 L2 with a 19-7 goal record, are on just 4 days rest after two games in 14 days versus Persita's 7.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongBali's away record argues the 46% is a touch high; goals look fine.
The 46% on Bali looks generous given they have lost both away games, conceding 4 in 2, and lost the last meeting here's fixture's rivals in 2026 0-1? Actually H2H: Bali won 3 of 6 and lead 1-0 in 2026. Over 2.5 at 59% seems low against 80% and 83% season rates, though H2H averages just 2.2 goals.
Persita: slightly underrated
More goalsLow Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Bali United are favourites at 47%, with Persita on 29% and the draw on 24%. Persita are 5th and Bali United 4th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Persita won three and Bali United three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Persita win or draw
- 53%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Bali United win or draw
- 71%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 77%
- 3+ goals
- 54%
- 4+ goals
- 31%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 56%
- No
- 44%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Persita and 1.6 from Bali United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Persita: last 5
WWDWD · 11 scored, 8 conceded
| 17 Oct | vs Persija | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Garudayaksa | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | at PSM Makassar | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | vs Java United | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | at PSIM Yogyakarta | 1–1 | D |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Bali United: last 6
WLWLWW · 19 scored, 7 conceded
| 21 Oct | vs Garudayaksa | 5–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | at Java United | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Persijap | 6–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 4–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
Last 2 away: LL
Season stats
| Persita | Bali United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | Goals scored per game | 3.17 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per game | 1.17 |
| 2.67 | Scored per game at home | 4.25 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 80% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| 100% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 17% |
League matches only, 5 and 6 games.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Persita won 1, Bali United 3, 2 draws; 2.2 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | Persita | 0–1 | Bali United | Liga 1 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Bali United | 0–0 | Persita | Liga 1 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Bali United | 1–1 | Persita | Liga 1 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Persita | 0–1 | Bali United | Liga 1 |
| 30 Apr 2024 | Persita | 4–2 | Bali United | Liga 1 |
| 30 Oct 2023 | Bali United | 3–0 | Persita | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Persita 7Bali United 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Persita 1 · Bali United 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
