Persija vs Persik Kediri prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Persija to win: 77%, about 3 in 4
Goals call3+ goals 70% · bookies 70%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
The three analyses converge on a Persija victory, driven by their superior attacking statistics and league position. The high probability of goals is supported by the H2H history and Persija's scoring rate, though the draw probability remains non-negligible.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Dressing Room thinks a draw is underrated; The Sceptic thinks Persik Kediri are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersPersija's potent home attack is likely to overwhelm Persik Kediri's defensive structure.
Persija scores an average of 2.67 goals at home and 2.33 away. They have scored 15 goals in 6 matches, while Persik Kediri averages only 1.17 goals per game.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe league leaders Persija possess the momentum and quality to secure the three points.
They have maintained strong form, winning their last 6 fixtures in all competitions.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongWhile Persija is heavily favoured, Persik Kediri's defensive resilience could limit the goal count.
The market heavily backs Persija at 77%. However, Persik Kediri has conceded only 0.67 goals per game away and has a strong H2H record against Persija.
Persik Kediri: clearly underrated
Fewer goalsMed Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
This is a data-only read
Our AI scouts have read the numbers for this match, not the team news.
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In short
Persija are clear favourites at 77%, with Persik Kediri on 9% and the draw on 14%. Persija are 1st and Persik Kediri 8th in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Persija won four and Persik Kediri three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Persija win or draw
- 91%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 86%
- Persik Kediri win or draw
- 23%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 70%
- 4+ goals
- 48%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 54%
- No
- 46%
We expect about 2.7 goals from Persija and 0.9 from Persik Kediri. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–0 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 10. Next: 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. The full analysis with team news can be requested on this page before kick-off. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 77% | 14% | 9% | Stats preview | #1387 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Persija: last 6
WLWWWW · 15 scored, 5 conceded
| 21 Oct | vs Arema FC | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | at Persita | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | at PSIM Yogyakarta | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Java United | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Persib Bandung | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: WWW
Persik Kediri: last 6
WLWDWL · 7 scored, 4 conceded
| 22 Oct | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | at Persib Bandung | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Persepam Madura Utd | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Arema FC | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Garudayaksa | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Dewa United | 0–1 | L |
Last 3 away: LDW
Season stats
| Persija | Persik Kediri | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | Goals scored per game | 1.17 |
| 0.83 | Goals conceded per game | 0.67 |
| 2.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.33 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| 50% | Both teams scored | 33% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 33% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | +1 | 9 | LDWDW |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | -3 | 8 | WWLDD |
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Persija won 2, Persik Kediri 0, 0 draws; 4.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Persik Kediri | 1–3 | Persija | Liga 1 |
| 20 Nov 2025 | Persija | 3–1 | Persik Kediri | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Travel for Persik Kediri
- 597 km
- Rest days
- Persija 5Persik Kediri 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Persija 2 · Persik Kediri 2
- Weather at kick-off
- 27°C · wind 2 km/h
- Rain expected
- Goals in this league
- Liga 1 Indonesia average: 2.91 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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