Arema FC vs Dewa United prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Dewa to win: 53%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 58% · bookies 58% · ✓ 4 goals
The Verdict
The consensus points towards Dewa United as the stronger side, supported by their league standing and defensive record. However, Arema FC's high scoring rate at home suggests the match will be open, with a high probability of goals.
What our AI analysts say
2 of 3 think Arema FC's chances are better than the bookmakers say. Neither makes Arema FC favourites.
The Coach
styles in the numbersDewa United's defensive stability provides a strong foundation for this fixture.
Dewa United maintains a 33% clean sheet rate, significantly higher than Arema FC's 17%.
Arema: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureDewa United's superior league position and rest offer a clear advantage.
Dewa United sits 2nd in the table with 14 points from 6 games, while Arema FC is 12th with 6 points from 6 games. Dewa United has 4 days rest, compared to Arema FC's 3 days rest.
Dewa: slightly overrated
Low The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongArema FC's potent home attack cannot be ignored despite their recent form.
Arema FC scores 2.33 goals per game at home, and in the last six head-to-head matches, Dewa United won 4 times, but Arema FC scored 2 goals in the 2023 encounter.
Arema: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Dewa United are favourites at 53%, with Arema FC on 23% and the draw on 24%. Arema FC are 12th and Dewa United 2nd in Liga 1 Indonesia. In their last five league games, Arema FC won none and Dewa United three.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Arema FC win or draw
- 47%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 76%
- Dewa United win or draw
- 77%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 80%
- 3+ goals
- 58%
- 4+ goals
- 35%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 58%
- No
- 42%
We expect about 1.2 goals from Arema FC and 1.8 from Dewa United. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%), 2–1 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
Frozen at kick-off. Version 2 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Arema FC: last 6
LLDDDW · 12 scored, 14 conceded
| 21 Oct | at Persija | 1–5 | L |
| 17 Oct | at Garudayaksa | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Bhayangkara FC | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs Persik Kediri | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | at PSM Makassar | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Sep | vs Isenmulang Kalteng | 4–0 | W |
Last 3 at home: DDW
Dewa United: last 6
WDWWDW · 12 scored, 6 conceded
| 20 Oct | vs Persijap | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | at Persib Bandung | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs PSS Sleman | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Sep | at Pusamania Borneo | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Bhayangkara FC | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sep | at Persik Kediri | 1–0 | W |
Last 3 away: DWW
Season stats
| Arema FC | Dewa United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Goals scored per game | 2.00 |
| 2.33 | Goals conceded per game | 1.00 |
| 2.33 | Scored per game at home | 2.00 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game away | 2.00 |
| 83% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 17% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 0% | Failed to score | 0% |
League matches only, 6 games each.
Liga 1 Indonesia table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | +10 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Dewa United | 7 | +2 | 14 | LWDWW |
| 3 | Bali United | 7 | +12 | 13 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | +4 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Persib Bandung | 7 | +3 | 13 | WLWDW |
| 6 | Persita | 6 | +3 | 12 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | +3 | 10 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Persik Kediri | 6 | +3 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Arema FC | 7 | +2 | 9 | WLLDD |
| 10 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | +1 | 9 | LDWDW |
| 11 | PSM Makassar | 6 | -3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 12 | Java United | 7 | +0 | 7 −2 | DDWWL |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Arema FC won 1, Dewa United 4, 1 draw; 1.8 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Dewa United | 2–0 | Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Arema FC | 1–2 | Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| 11 Jan 2025 | Dewa United | 2–0 | Arema FC | Liga 1 |
| 12 Aug 2024 | Arema FC | 0–0 | Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| 2 Nov 2023 | Arema FC | 2–1 | Dewa United | Liga 1 |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Dewa United | 1–0 | Arema FC | Liga 1 |
Match context
- Rest days
- Arema FC 3Dewa United 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: Arema FC 2 · Dewa United 2
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
