Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour forecast · data model
Who wins?
Helmond Sport to win: 45%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 60% · bookies 60%
Bookmakers' prices with their margin removed; a stats preview does not adjust them with news.
The Verdict
All three readings land near the published 45-25-30, with a mild home lean backed by Helmond's 1.83 home scoring rate against an Eindhoven side conceding 2.08 a game. On goals, the coach sees over 2.5 as fair to slightly generous, the sceptic trims it below 60%; both agree 2+ goals at 82% is well supported.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think a draw is underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersTwo leaky defences point to goals at both ends
Helmond concede 2.17 a game with 0% clean sheets; FC Eindhoven concede 2.08. Helmond score 1.83 per game at home, Eindhoven 1.00 away.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo struggling sides, seven days rest each, points badly needed
Helmond sit 19th on 9 points (W2 D3 L7), Eindhoven 17th on 11 (W3 D2 L7). Helmond have lost five of their last six; Eindhoven four of six. Both had 7 days' rest and one game in 14, so freshness is equal and the pressure to stop the rot is shared.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongHome lean looks fair but the over may be a touch high
The 45-25-30 split roughly matches the season: Helmond win 2 of 12, Eindhoven 3 of 12, so a narrow home edge is defensible.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
Helmond Sport are favourites at 45%, with FC Eindhoven on 30% and the draw on 25%. Helmond Sport are 19th and FC Eindhoven 17th in the Eerste Divisie. Neither side has won any of their last five league games.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- Helmond Sport win or draw
- 70%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- FC Eindhoven win or draw
- 55%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 82%
- 3+ goals
- 60%
- 4+ goals
- 38%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 61%
- No
- 39%
We expect about 1.7 goals from Helmond Sport and 1.4 from FC Eindhoven. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (11%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 9. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%), 1–2 (7%), 2–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 25% | 30% | Stats preview | #1812 |
This table freezes at kick-off; the last version before the start is the one that counts. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
Helmond Sport: last 6
LLLDLL · 8 scored, 16 conceded
| 23 Oct | at Jong AZ | 4–5 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs NAC Breda | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at FC OSS | 1–3 | L |
| 2 Oct | vs Heracles | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | at MVV | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | at Den Bosch | 1–2 | L |
Last 5 at home: LDWWD
FC Eindhoven: last 6
LLLDLW · 8 scored, 13 conceded
| 23 Oct | vs Jong PSV U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs Vitesse | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Almere City FC | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs De Graafschap | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | at NAC Breda | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Emmen | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: LLDLW
Season stats
| Helmond Sport | FC Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | Goals scored per game | 1.33 |
| 2.17 | Goals conceded per game | 2.08 |
| 1.83 | Scored per game at home | 1.57 |
| 1.50 | Scored per game away | 1.00 |
| 67% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| 83% | Both teams scored | 67% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 25% |
League matches only, 12 games each.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | -1 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | -11 | 12 | DWLDL |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | -11 | 12 | DLWDW |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | -6 | 9 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 12 | -12 | 7 | LLLLW |
Match context
- Travel for FC Eindhoven
- 13 km
- Rest days
- Helmond Sport 7FC Eindhoven 7
- Matches in the last 14 days: Helmond Sport 1 · FC Eindhoven 1
- Weather at kick-off
- 9°C · wind 11 km/h
- Dry
- Goals in this league
- Eerste Divisie average: 3.59 per match
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
