FC Volendam vs Jong FC Utrecht prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Volendam to win: 60%, about 3 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 69% · bookies 69% · ✓ 8 goals
The Verdict
All three readings lean Volendam, with the coach and dressing room closest to the published 60-20-20 and the sceptic nudging a couple of points toward Jong Utrecht after their recent wins. Expect goals: 3+ goals at 69% and both teams to score at 64% sit comfortably alongside Volendam's five straight home wins.
What our AI analysts say
Our analysts are split: The Coach thinks FC Volendam are underrated; The Sceptic thinks Jong FC Utrecht are underrated.
The Coach
styles in the numbersVolendam's home scoring machine should overwhelm a leaky Jong Utrecht defence.
Volendam average 3.20 goals per home game and have won their last five at home, scoring 16 and conceding 3. Jong Utrecht concede 2.27 per game with only 9% clean sheets, and their matches go over 2.5 goals 91% of the time. Both teams score in 64% of the numbers' scenarios.
Volendam: slightly underrated
Low The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe table gap and Volendam's home run point firmly to the hosts.
Volendam sit 8th on 16 points from 11 games; Jong Utrecht are 20th with just 7. Volendam have won five of their last six at home, while Jong Utrecht have lost four of their last five away. Both had a light week, one game each in 14 days, so freshness is even.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe prices look about right, though Jong Utrecht's away record gives pause.
The 60-20-20 split matches a head-to-head where Volendam won 5 of 6. But Jong Utrecht beat Jong Ajax 6-1 and won at NAC recently, and their away scoring (1.40 per game) beats Volendam's away rate. The 20% away price may be slightly generous to the hosts.
Jong Utrecht: slightly underrated
Low Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
FC Volendam are clear favourites at 60%, with Jong FC Utrecht on 20% and the draw on 20%. FC Volendam are 8th and Jong FC Utrecht 20th in the Eerste Divisie. In their last five league games, FC Volendam won two and Jong FC Utrecht two.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Volendam win or draw
- 80%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 80%
- Jong FC Utrecht win or draw
- 40%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 87%
- 3+ goals
- 69%
- 4+ goals
- 47%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 64%
- No
- 36%
We expect about 2.3 goals from FC Volendam and 1.3 from Jong FC Utrecht. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 2–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%), 1–0 (7%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60% | 20% | 20% | Stats preview | #589 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Volendam: last 6
DWLWLW · 9 scored, 8 conceded
| 18 Oct | at Waalwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Vitesse | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | at Almere City FC | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs VVV Venlo | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | at Jong AZ | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Den Bosch | 2–0 | W |
Last 5 at home: WWWWW
Jong FC Utrecht: last 6
LLLWWD · 12 scored, 10 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Roda | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | at De Graafschap | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs VVV Venlo | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Jong Ajax | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | at NAC Breda | 3–2 | W |
| 7 Sep | vs FC Eindhoven | 0–0 | D |
Last 5 away: LWLLL
Season stats
| FC Volendam | Jong FC Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | Goals scored per game | 1.55 |
| 1.64 | Goals conceded per game | 2.27 |
| 3.20 | Scored per game at home | 1.67 |
| 1.17 | Scored per game away | 1.40 |
| 55% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 91% |
| 55% | Both teams scored | 91% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 9% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almere City FC | 12 | +13 | 22 | LLWWL |
| 5 | Roda | 12 | +4 | 22 | WWDLW |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 12 | +3 | 21 | DWWDW |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 12 | +9 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 8 | Jong AZ | 12 | +5 | 17 | WDLWD |
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | -1 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 10 | MVV | 12 | -11 | 17 | DLLLW |
| … | |||||
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | -6 | 9 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Jong FC Utrecht | 12 | -12 | 7 | LLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Volendam won 5, Jong FC Utrecht 1, 0 draws; 2.7 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2025 | Jong FC Utrecht | 2–3 | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| 8 Nov 2024 | FC Volendam | 2–0 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 4 Feb 2022 | FC Volendam | 2–0 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| 22 Nov 2021 | Jong FC Utrecht | 0–1 | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| 16 Apr 2021 | Jong FC Utrecht | 2–3 | FC Volendam | Eerste Divisie |
| 11 Sep 2020 | FC Volendam | 0–1 | Jong FC Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Match context
- Rest days
- FC Volendam 5Jong FC Utrecht 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Volendam 1 · Jong FC Utrecht 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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