FC OSS vs Jong Ajax prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
OSS to win: 46%, about 1 in 2
Goals call3+ goals 67% · bookies 67% · ✓ 6 goals
The Verdict
All three readings lean the same way: OSS's strong home form, extra rest and head-to-head edge justify the 46% home lean, while Jong Ajax's poor away defence keeps goals likely. The published numbers look broadly fair, with perhaps a nudge towards the home side.
What our AI analysts say
All three broadly agree with the bookmakers.
The Coach
styles in the numbersOSS's home scoring and Jong Ajax's leaky defence point to goals and a home edge.
OSS average 2.60 goals per home game and have won four of their last five at home, scoring 13. Jong Ajax concede 2.36 per game and shipped 12 in their last five away. Both teams score in 64% of each side's matches, so an open game looks likely.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureTwo struggling sides, but OSS's home run and extra rest give them the steadier footing.
OSS sit 14th on 12 points, one clear of 16th-placed Jong Ajax on 11. OSS have won three of their last six; Jong Ajax have lost four. OSS also have seven days' rest to Jong Ajax's four, which could matter late on.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongThe market's home lean looks fair, though Jong Ajax's away record gives pause.
The 46% home price looks about right, maybe a shade low.
Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
FC OSS are favourites at 46%, with Jong Ajax on 29% and the draw on 25%. FC OSS are 14th and Jong Ajax 16th in the Eerste Divisie. In their last five league games, FC OSS won three and Jong Ajax one.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC OSS win or draw
- 71%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Jong Ajax win or draw
- 54%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 67%
- 4+ goals
- 45%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 67%
- No
- 33%
We expect about 1.9 goals from FC OSS and 1.5 from Jong Ajax. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (9%). Even the likeliest exact score happens less than 1 time in 10. Next: 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%), 2–2 (7%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46% | 25% | 29% | Stats preview | #592 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC OSS: last 6
LWWLWL · 12 scored, 8 conceded
| 16 Oct | at Den Bosch | 1–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Helmond Sport | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs MVV | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | at Emmen | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Dordrecht | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Sep | at VVV Venlo | 1–3 | L |
Last 5 at home: WWWWL
Jong Ajax: last 6
WLDLLW · 4 scored, 12 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs De Graafschap | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs VVV Venlo | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Roda | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Sep | at Jong Utrecht | 1–6 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Waalwijk | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | at Almere City FC | 1–0 | W |
Last 5 away: LWDLL
Season stats
| FC OSS | Jong Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | Goals scored per game | 1.36 |
| 1.55 | Goals conceded per game | 2.36 |
| 2.60 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 0.50 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 82% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 64% |
| 9% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 27% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | +4 | 16 | DDLDL |
| 12 | Jong PSV U21 | 12 | -2 | 16 | WLDLD |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 12 | -3 | 15 | DWWDL |
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | -1 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | -11 | 12 | DWLDL |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | -11 | 12 | DLWDW |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC OSS won 3, Jong Ajax 1, 2 draws; 2.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2026 | Jong Ajax | 1–2 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| 21 Oct 2025 | FC OSS | 1–1 | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| 9 May 2025 | Jong Ajax | 0–0 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
| 13 Dec 2024 | FC OSS | 2–1 | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| 16 Feb 2024 | FC OSS | 2–1 | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie |
| 24 Nov 2023 | Jong Ajax | 1–0 | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie |
Match context
- Rest days
- FC OSS 7Jong Ajax 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC OSS 1 · Jong Ajax 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. If you bet, bet only what you can afford to lose. Responsible gambling
