FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV prediction
Data modelBookmaker prices, home/away form, scoring trends and the table, read by our AI analysts. How it works
KickoffHour pre-match forecast · data model
Who wins?
Eindhoven to win: 40%, about 2 in 5
Goals call3+ goals 67% · bookies 67% · ✓ 3 goals
The Verdict
The readings suggest a competitive match where the home side holds a slight advantage. The high scoring rates noted by the Coach, combined with FC Eindhoven's historical dominance, point towards an open contest. The close league standings reinforce the expectation of a tight affair.
What our AI analysts say
1 of 3 think FC Eindhoven's chances are better than the bookmakers say.
The Coach
styles in the numbersFC Eindhoven's home scoring power meets Jong PSV U21's high tendency for both teams to score.
FC Eindhoven scores 1.67 per game at home, while Jong PSV U21 concedes 1.64 per game overall. The season data shows Jong PSV U21 has an 82% rate of both teams scoring.
The Dressing Room
the table and pressureThe fixture is between two closely ranked sides with minimal separation in the table.
Jong PSV U21 sits 13th in the table with 13 points from 11 games. FC Eindhoven is 15th with 11 points from 11 games. FC Eindhoven has 7 days rest.
The Sceptic
where the market may be wrongFC Eindhoven's dominant head-to-head record suggests the market may be slightly undervaluing the home side.
FC Eindhoven has won 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings. FC Eindhoven's home form shows 8 goals scored and 8 conceded in the last 5 matches.
Eindhoven: clearly underrated
Med Data-only analysis: no team news was found for this match, so our analysts read form, home/away splits, head-to-head, goal timings and the table. It does not change the numbers above. AI analysts are automated roles, not people. Their leans are not betting tips.
In short
FC Eindhoven are slight favourites at 40%, with Jong PSV on 35% and the draw on 25%. FC Eindhoven are 15th and Jong PSV 13th in the Eerste Divisie. In their last five league games, FC Eindhoven won one and Jong PSV none.
More markets
Win or draw (double chance)
- FC Eindhoven win or draw
- 65%
- Either team wins (no draw)
- 75%
- Jong PSV win or draw
- 60%
Goals in the match (over/under)
- 2+ goals
- 86%
- 3+ goals
- 67%
- 4+ goals
- 45%
Both teams score (BTTS)
- Yes
- 67%
- No
- 33%
We expect about 1.8 goals from FC Eindhoven and 1.7 from Jong PSV. (expected goals)
Most likely score: 1–1 (10%). Even the likeliest exact score happens only about 1 time in 11. Next: 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%), 2–2 (7%), 1–0 (6%).
How these numbers are made
A data-model preview uses the bookmakers' prices for this match with their margin removed by the power method. Our AI analysts read only the data (form, home and away record, head-to-head, goal timings and the table), not the team news, and they do not change these numbers. Total goals, both teams to score and likely scores come from one score grid fitted to these probabilities.
Stats previews are graded separately from our full analyses in the track record. Methodology
Prediction history
| # | Published | Home | Draw | Away | Reason | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 40% | 25% | 35% | Stats preview | #579 |
Frozen at kick-off. Version 1 is the one that counts in our track record. Every version is in the public ledger (how to check).
Form
All competitions, newest first.
FC Eindhoven: last 6
LLDLWW · 9 scored, 12 conceded
| 16 Oct | vs Vitesse | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Almere City FC | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs De Graafschap | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | at NAC Breda | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Emmen | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Dordrecht | 2–1 | W |
Last 5 at home: LDWWL
Jong PSV: last 6
LDLDLW · 7 scored, 10 conceded
| 19 Oct | vs Dordrecht | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Oct | at Roda | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | at Vitesse | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Jong AZ | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Sep | at Helmond Sport | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Den Bosch | 3–1 | W |
Last 5 away: DLLDL
Season stats
| FC Eindhoven | Jong PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | Goals scored per game | 1.36 |
| 2.09 | Goals conceded per game | 1.64 |
| 1.67 | Scored per game at home | 1.50 |
| 1.00 | Scored per game away | 1.20 |
| 73% | Matches over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| 64% | Both teams scored | 82% |
| 18% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 27% | Failed to score | 9% |
League matches only, 11 games each.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | Pld | Goal diff. | Points | League form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Vitesse | 12 | -1 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 10 | MVV | 12 | -11 | 17 | DLLLW |
| 11 | Waalwijk | 12 | +4 | 16 | DDLDL |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 12 | -2 | 16 | WLDLD |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 12 | -3 | 15 | DWWDL |
| 14 | FC OSS | 12 | -1 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 12 | -11 | 12 | DWLDL |
| 16 | De Graafschap | 12 | -11 | 12 | DLWDW |
| 17 | FC Eindhoven | 12 | -9 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 12 | -15 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 19 | Helmond Sport | 12 | -6 | 9 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 12 | -12 | 7 | LLLLW |
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: FC Eindhoven won 5, Jong PSV 1, 0 draws; 4.0 goals per game.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar 2026 | Jong PSV | 1–2 | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| 5 Dec 2025 | FC Eindhoven | 4–0 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| 28 Apr 2025 | Jong PSV | 0–2 | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
| 29 Nov 2024 | FC Eindhoven | 1–0 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| 12 Apr 2024 | FC Eindhoven | 2–5 | Jong PSV | Eerste Divisie |
| 23 Oct 2023 | Jong PSV | 3–4 | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie |
Match context
- Rest days
- FC Eindhoven 7Jong PSV 4
- Matches in the last 14 days: FC Eindhoven 1 · Jong PSV 1
Published UK time (GMT) · Updated UK time (GMT)
This analysis was generated automatically by an AI model from public sources. How it works →
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